Developing: Pakistani Plane Escorted by UK Fighter Jets — 2 Men Arrested

Doc Thompson’s 24-hour radio marathon, ‘#24forok,’ continues until 9 am ET — Listen Live!

Politics

Electoral College Model Predicts Romney Will Win Even Bigger Than Previously Thought in 2012

Oct. 8, 2012 8:57am Billy Hallowell

In August, TheBlaze told you about University of Colorado Professors Ken Bickers and Michael Berry and their highly-accurate Electoral College prediction model. As you may recall, Bickers and Berry, using their metrics, are able to retroactively predict every presidential win since 1980.

Their 2012 model made headlines two months ago because, despite polling, it found that Republican presidential candidate Romney would win 320 Electoral Votes, stealing the White House away from President Barack Obama. Now, an updated version of their study has come to the same conclusion — but it intensifies the numbers behind a predicted Romney win.

Despite the fact that polls still show a dead-heat race (Obama is currently at 48.2 percent, with Romney capturing 47.3 percent of likely voters in the most recent Real Clear Politics average), an updated election model shows an even larger gap between the Electoral College votes that Romney and Obama are projected to win. According to Bickers and Berry, the Republican challenger is projected to take 330 of the 558 votes, while Obama is expected to capture only 208 of them.

University of Colorado Model: Romney Will Beat Obama in 2012 | Electoral College

US Republican presidential candidate Mitt Romney and his wife Ann. Photo Credit: AFP/Getty Images

With 270 as the major number needed for any candidate to win, this clearly shows Obama far from the mark, sending Romney — at least theoretically — to victory come November. While the model did not change, Bickers’ and Berry’s analysis is based on updated economic data, which clearly helped sway the projection even further in Romney’s favor.

The University of Colorado Boulder web site has more about how the model works:

While many election forecast models are based on the popular vote, the model developed by Bickers and Berry is based on the Electoral College and is the only one of its type to include more than one state-level measure of economic conditions. They included economic data from all 50 states and the District of Columbia. [...]

The Bickers and Berry model includes both state and national unemployment figures as well as changes in real per capita income, among other factors. The new analysis includes unemployment rates from August rather than May, and changes in per capita income from the end of June rather than March. It is the last update they will release before the election. [...]

In addition to state and national unemployment rates, the authors analyzed changes in personal income from the time of the prior presidential election. Research shows that these two factors affect the major parties differently: Voters hold Democrats more responsible for unemployment rates, while Republicans are held more responsible for fluctuations in personal income.

“We continue to show that the economic conditions favor Romney even though many polls show the president in the lead,” Bickers notes. “Other published models point to the same result, but they looked at the national popular vote, while we stress state-level economic data.”

US President Barack Obama speaks during a campaign convert at the Nokia Theater on October 7, 2012 in Los Angeles. Obama is on a three-day trip during which he will campaign in California and Ohio as well as attend the establishment of the Cesar Chavez National Monument. Photo Credit: AFP/Getty Images

According to the prediction, Romney will carry New Mexico, North Carolina, Virginia, Iowa, New Hampshire, Colorado, Wisconsin, Minnesota, Pennsylvania, Ohio and Florida. On the flip side, Obama will take Michigan and Nevada.

Of course, Bickers and Berry caution those wedded to the data. Despite being correct for the past eight elections, there are some factors worth noting. The model has an average error rate of five states and 28 Electoral College votes. Plus, states that are close may end up being impacted by unexpected factors not included in the model.

Now, let’s get back to that record of accuracy mentioned earlier in this piece. The state-based economic data used by the researchers has been available since 1980, according to the university’s web site. When the data is applied to past elections, retroactively, it correctly chooses all of the winners. Most notably, it even correctly estimated the 2000 outcome, when Al Gore won the popular vote, but George W. Bush won the Electoral College.

In the end, though, anything is possible. Slight and unexpected changes could turn the entire scenario on its head. Still, the model — considering its viability — is worth paying attention to.

–

Related:

Electoral College Model Predicts Romney Will Win Big in 2012 (And It’s Been Right Since 1980)

Benghazi, IRS, AP...What's next? Only TheBlaze TV offers the truth from Glenn Beck, Andrew Wilkow, and Real News from TheBlaze. Get instant access and a free trial here.

Back to The Blaze »

Comments (118)

mdtexas
Posted on October 8, 2012 at 10:08am
“retroactively predict ”

Sounds like “genuine imitation”, “jumbo shrimp”, or “reality television”.

I wonder how much money these researchers made trying to come up with a model that predicted that their guy would win.

Report this comment
Log in to ReplyReply
- Fifth_Disciple
  Posted on October 8, 2012 at 10:22am
  I’m sure that facts will be lost on you but I’d like to point out that the article states “since 1980″. Forgive me if I’m wrong but I think some Democrats were elected in that period as well?
  
  Report this comment
- encinom
  Posted on October 8, 2012 at 11:00am
  When every other poll and model predicts the opposite, including those that focus on the swing states and the electoral college.
  
  I guess this article is to prevent the the Beckerheads from becoming suicidal. I mean Romney already abandoned his fringe talking points, now they have to deal with the fact that this abandonment of fringe talking points was is not enough to replace Obama.
- AvengerK
  Posted on October 8, 2012 at 11:07am
  ENCINOM/MONICNE/SLEAZY HIPPO/ad nauseum….that’s it champ..keep whistling past the graveyard.
  
  Report this comment
- rob n ny
  Posted on October 8, 2012 at 12:33pm
  Actually, this is a major part of good computer models, as evidenced by the man made global warming models NOT being able to correctly predict the climate based on their factors over the course of the last several thousand years. How else would you recommend testing whether you are including the correct factors and weighting them correctly if they can’t predict times when you KNOW the outcome. I’m not saying it is sufficient by itself, you could still have mere coincidences, but if you can’t “predict the past” if you will, you have no hope of predicting the future.
  
  Report this comment
- bgotts27
  Posted on October 8, 2012 at 1:21pm
  MDTEXAS,
  
  Let me guess: you attended a government (aka a “public”) school, right?
  
  “Retroactively predict” is an absolutely valid testing method. If a model can be constructed that gets EVERY historical event correct (in this case back to 1080), then it could be considered a good model – that is NOT the same thing as saying it is 100% accurate for the future.
  
  It simply compares past performance with future achievement – which is another reason why so many who voted for Obama in the past will vote for Romney this time.
  
  Let’s try another scenario: suppose I want to market a software model to predict the Super Bowl winner. Obviously, I could not use this season to test it, since this season is only just begun. However, if there were a specific body of statistics that I could plug into the program, and regardless of what those statistics I plugged in, the model selected EVERY Super Bowl winner since 1980, would you go to Vegas and bet against it? Or would you be more willing to put your money on my model?
  
  Report this comment
- Man-On-A-Mission
  Posted on October 8, 2012 at 1:26pm
  Pure BS…..Obama will will Ohio, Florida, Penn and Virgina…..
  
  Too bad for Romney, but your math does not add up as usual.
  
  Report this comment
- AvengerK
  Posted on October 8, 2012 at 2:07pm
  MAN ON A HOPE HIGH….you’re whistling past the graveyard like your buddy ENCINOM/MONICNE/SLEAZY HIPPO/ad nauseum.
  
  Report this comment
- I am 'We the People
  Posted on October 8, 2012 at 2:13pm
  Encinom your faith in polls that are guilty of the misleading vividness falacy is laughable.
  
  Report this comment
- cosette
  Posted on October 8, 2012 at 2:35pm
  @ All doubters…. The Rasmussen report, the most accurate of all the polling outfits, has a brand new electoral college map on their site which takes into account the Romney bump from his outstanding debate performance. There are a total of 10 toss up states of which Romney leads in 6. If he maintains that lead until election day he will win 270 E.C. votes and our long national nightmare will be over. The people are beginning to realize the truth in Margret Thatchers’ observation… “The trouble with socialism is that sooner or later you run out of other peoples money”.
  
  Report this comment
- DadRocked
  Posted on October 8, 2012 at 9:02pm
  I recently read, “Jumbo Shrimp from Certified Waters”… certified as what!?
  
  Report this comment
- db321
  Posted on October 8, 2012 at 11:25pm
  Romney would win 320 Electoral Votes, stealing the White House away from President Barack Obama – Another Billy Hallaway Article.
  
  Billy Hallaway what are you doing posting Political stories. You still haven’t chased God out of America with you Atheist bias crap in the Faith section. Billy are you saying that Romney did not earn his candidacy and earn his position as a front runner. Billy are you trying to rise up the Obama worshipers with the stealing the election line.
  
  WHY DOES THE BLAZE PUT UP WITH YOU BILLY – MANY READERS ARE ON TO YOUR LIBERAL WAYS! THE BLAZE NEEDS TO SENT YOU TO THE HUFF POST.
  
  Report this comment
- sillyfreshness
  Posted on October 9, 2012 at 2:55am
  The “chosen people” controlled Marxist Media will do everything, every lie possible to convince any Romney voter to not show up at the polls, because the election is already over and Obama has won.
  
  Report this comment
- Ava111368
  Posted on October 31, 2012 at 11:44am
  I’d like to point out that “since 1980″ isn’t a fact. What the article fails to mention is that Bickers and Barry have invented an entirely new model for this election. Therefore, their model has predicted nothing. Also, Bickers was only a student when this project began. He’s not behind the invention of the original model. And Barry is barely even 30years old. That should tell you something about how long he’s been involved.
  
  One more thing: In seven out of eight if the elections, the original model was off by more than 7%.
  
  Report this comment
buttermilk80
Posted on October 8, 2012 at 10:06am
The call of the day is to abandon all the work of the liberals and support conservative ideals. And millions are making plans, through educating themselves, to do just that come November 6th. “Millions”, I say. Millions! People who have never voted before are now registered and prepared to take a stand for the sake of their freedom. Wow! The nation is divided as never before over the issues of the day. I almost have to laugh at the response. Threaten to take away freedom and the nation wakes up. There will likely be more years of voting to come. And we will see what happens this year. But the rousing response to liberalism is impressive.

We get to vote our mind once, twice, three times and more. It’s kind or like a restart when elections come along. We get to keep chosing what kind of leadership we want. But there is an election that many of those millions are missing.

Threaten America with a loss of freedom to do anything they want and they come out swinging. Yet few pay attention to the on going, second by second election regarding the eternal freedom. They select leaders over the “stuff” of life in the body. But what about the election of who is Lord of their eternity?

What would America look like if the people were as worried about voting for satan or Jesus? Satan (I had to capitalize the name cause it was the first word in the sentence, sorry) is the king of lies, rebellion, corruption and eternal stupidity. Jesus is King of eternal righ

Report this comment
Log in to Reply Reply
MrKnowItAll
Posted on October 8, 2012 at 10:04am
As I watched Detroit go down the tubes for the last 47 years. I always wonder why no one was jailed when there was so much evidence against Coleman Young and all his Thugs. Not anymore. One reason. He was Black. Now you don’t have to wonder why Obama is not locked up.

Report this comment
Log in to Reply Reply
NOTAMUSHROOM
Posted on October 8, 2012 at 9:55am
“it found that Republican presidential candidate Romney would win 320 Electoral Votes, stealing the White House away from President Barack Obama. ”

Dear Mr Hallowell,
This is not stealing. Stealing is registering dead people and cartoon characters and using Acorn to throw an election. Also stealing an election includes the use of millions of anonymous debit cards. Just so you know, this is called “winning in a landslide.”

Report this comment
Log in to ReplyReply
- JRook
  Posted on October 8, 2012 at 10:08am
  Really don’t expect either the staff here or the majority of bloggers to understand the difference between a statistical relationship and a cause and effect. Geez anybody can run a regression analysis on just about any variables….. and of course interpret them far beyond their predictive capacity.
  
  Report this comment
- DIMITRIINPA
  Posted on October 8, 2012 at 10:09am
  Amen, brutha!!!
  
  Report this comment
- Oneirishman
  Posted on October 8, 2012 at 10:45am
  Here, Here!
  
  Report this comment
- I am 'We the People
  Posted on October 8, 2012 at 10:57am
  Hey Jrook, you are a contemptuous idiot. When you start using your head instead of spouting thing out your rear end, then and only then will you matter.
  
  “People are stupid, they will believe something because they want it to be true; or because they’re afraid it might be true.” “Given proper motivation, almost anyone will believe almost anything. Because people are stupid, they will believe a lie because they want to believe it’s true, or because they’re afraid it might be true. People’s heads are full of knowledge, facts and beliefs, and most of it is false, yet they think it all true. People are stupid; they can only rarely tell the difference between a lie and the truth, and yet they are confident they can, and so are all the easier to fool.”<– fits you perfectly!
  
  Report this comment
- Eastinfection
  Posted on October 8, 2012 at 11:05am
  @JROOK….
  
  “Geez anybody can run a regression analysis on just about any variables….. and of course interpret them far beyond their predictive capacity.”
  
  Thank You. That is a perfect analysis of the “big savings” Obama promised in the Affordable Healthcare Act.
  
  Report this comment
- AvengerK
  Posted on October 8, 2012 at 11:08am
  NOTAMUSHROOM….JCROOK was pouting and stamping his foot when he typed that reply to your post.
  
  Report this comment
- encinom
  Posted on October 8, 2012 at 11:31am
  Stealing is right, when you take over State house and impose new laws to prevent people from voting. When you high a company with a history of shady practices to run your voter registration drives as the GOP has done. Yes stealing is correct.
  
  Report this comment
- I am 'We the People
  Posted on October 8, 2012 at 11:59am
  Hey Encinicommie, you seem to fit this bill too: “People are stupid, they will believe something because they want it to be true; or because they’re afraid it might be true.” “Given proper motivation, almost anyone will believe almost anything. Because people are stupid, they will believe a lie because they want to believe it’s true, or because they’re afraid it might be true. People’s heads are full of knowledge, facts and beliefs, and most of it is false, yet they think it all true. People are stupid; they can only rarely tell the difference between a lie and the truth, and yet they are confident they can, and so are all the easier to fool.”
  
  I, for one don’t want my dead grandmother to vote Democrate again this election. You, sir, are a proponent of voter Fraud and TREASON by it’s base definition. If a sate issued picture ID is required for welfare, and it is, then it is required for voting. Period.
  
  Report this comment
- izzy1127
  Posted on October 8, 2012 at 1:41pm
  @ENCINOM: I guess you are referring to the company Strategic Allied Consulting when you refer to registering voters. Just one little google search will tell you that the company was FIRED by the GOP when they learned of possible misconduct by ONE of their employees. But there’s more. The democrats use the same company in certain states. They haven’t fired them. BOOYAH B*TCH……
  
  Report this comment
glassman2000
Posted on October 8, 2012 at 9:51am
Wango, you seem to think that there is virtue in equivocating between Reps and Dems. Thats all you have? Your political philosophy is apathy and despondancy. Pick a side! Take a stand! Woud you rather have Dems spending your country into a crisis or the Reps cutting taxes, revving up the economy and reducing spending? Romney has the corect mix of tax cuts and spending cuts that will allow and promote economic growth. As far as the debt goes I am nervous for the next 20 years and what it portends. Debt on this scale is super bad, it is going to be next to impossible to grow your way out of this… maybe hyper-inflation will take care of it. I am really nervous about any outcome when it comes to the US debt crisis, problem is Obama isn’t !!!

Report this comment
Log in to ReplyReply
- Wango
  Posted on October 8, 2012 at 7:15pm
  My stand is against right wing extremists. What spending cuts? Which loopholes will close in his “revenue neutral” tax cuts? And who isn’t in support of “revving up the economy”? The debt will continue to grow under Romney. Whose fault will that be? He will deficit spend. Whose fault will that be? He will raise the debt ceiling. Whose fault will that be? The government will topple in Syria and be taken over by even more radical Islamists. Whose fault will that be? If Romney wins, you have to defend rather than support. Good luck with that, because you righttards have set a new standard when it comes to baseless accusation and personal attacks. Here’s a good example: “The country’s never been more divided than it is under Romney.”
  
  Report this comment
walnutportconservative
Posted on October 8, 2012 at 9:42am
Biden was quoted (4/1/12) to say that (speaking during the Rep. primary) “we won’t be beaten by any of these candidates”. He wnet on to say, “maybe something in the middle east, or the gulf”. I feel these marxists in the capital, have the power at present to stir up those regions to the point of justifying a stay of an election. Maybe I’m just ignorant to government procedure, but that no longer matters with these folks… what constitution? Executive order? Things are riled in Iran right now over economics, Obama says it is directly tied to sanctions, he can push for retaliation beyond what we see today. I am just being a watchman, but my alert comes from the Michael Scott of the Whitehouse… Biden. Probably not a BFD.

Report this comment
Log in to Reply Reply
helllsbellls
Posted on October 8, 2012 at 9:41am
I am getting prepared for that. Go Romney-Ryan. It will be a big change from the last election……lookin forward to makeing my mark on the ballot. Hells Bells.

Report this comment
Log in to Reply Reply
P8riot
Posted on October 8, 2012 at 9:41am
Romney/Ryan 2012 baby!

Can’t wait to see the Romney bounce after Ryan schools Biden in the VP Debate :))

Report this comment
Log in to Reply Reply
BODYBAG
Posted on October 8, 2012 at 9:36am
The Chicago Office of Propaganda is beginning to crumble.
The Marxist Kenyan Boy King’s subterfuge is going down with it.

Blood is in the water now and Romney needs to get aggressive and
finish him off.

No Mercy.
Romney / Ryan 2012

Report this comment
Log in to Reply Reply
markjd
Posted on October 8, 2012 at 9:33am
This artilce does not mention the ballots that will be found in the trunk of cars. Did you hear Hugo won another term…

Report this comment
Log in to Reply Reply
JQCitizen
Posted on October 8, 2012 at 9:31am
This verifies what I have been thinking. Of course we know the MSM is skewing most polls Dem to favor the president. But what I find more interesting is how TONE-DEAF the president is being about the REAL SUFFERING in this nation. Two points with regard to that:

1. Obama keeps saying “We are headed in the right direction, we just need some more time.”
HE IS SINCERE WHEN HE SAYS THAT! The “right direction” for America, (by HIS ideology), is a BIG DOWNGRADE! But he is a WORD-TWISTER; -A Master of making comments that can be interpreted ONE WAY by the general public, (AND manipulated by the MSM to turn minds).

2. The Americans who KNOW THAT, and WON’T ACCEPT IT, will NEVER vote for him. I think his stradegy is to foster as much VOTER FRAUD as he can, to run up the POPULAR VOTE TOTAL; And then, when it is clear that Mitt Romney won by the Electoral College, create a TOTAL UPROAR, Tear the country up with chaos, and hope that the results get bound up in court, and that the court fears the chaos, and blinks, gives in to him, and gives him a win by FIAT!

WRITE IT DOWN! I SAID THIS: October 8, 2012!

Report this comment
Log in to ReplyReply
- Magyar
  Posted on October 8, 2012 at 9:41am
  Great Op-Ed—- If that every did happen–there would be chaos for sure—The standoff would be ended by WE THE PEOPLE and the 2nd Amendment…..
  
  It would be the spark for certain……………..
  
  Report this comment
- walnutportconservative
  Posted on October 8, 2012 at 10:08am
  God says, “you are either with me or against me”
  And knowing Barak is against, you thena ask who is he with?
  Diablo loves chaos.
  
  Report this comment
Wango
Posted on October 8, 2012 at 9:30am
Super. Romney’s win in a landslide. Then what? Well, first thing he’s gotta do – raise the debt ceiling. Everybody cool with that? Good.

Report this comment
Log in to ReplyReply
- LetUsReason
  Posted on October 8, 2012 at 1:18pm
  Hey, aren’t you the Charles Manson disciple that just got awarded parole??
  
  Report this comment
- AvengerK
  Posted on October 8, 2012 at 1:35pm
  Oh look..WHACKO/HORSEDANCER/ad nauseum is taking time out of his self-professed “busy” retirement to post his usual drive-by nonsense all day again.
  This is what a small mind like WHACKO’s considers to be “interesting and provocative”.
  
  Report this comment
- Wango
  Posted on October 8, 2012 at 7:18pm
  AVENGECAKE . . . Since you’re not interesting or provocative enough to stand your ground, I’ll take that as a yes, you support raising the debt ceiling. Why do you hate America? I’m going to tell Michelle Bachmann on you, and you won’t be able to go out shopping for those smart little accessories with Marcus anymore. (Now THAT is interesting and provocative. See how that works? Give it a try, skippy.)
  
  Report this comment
Gonzo
Posted on October 8, 2012 at 9:29am
Now maybe Obama can finally pursue his dream of becoming a late night talk show host. Late night hasn’t been the same without Arsenio Hall. woof woof woof

Report this comment
Log in to ReplyReply
- Wango
  Posted on October 8, 2012 at 9:45am
  Hard to believe they call you a racist. Say hey to Alan Thicke.
  
  Report this comment
- GrayPanther
  Posted on October 8, 2012 at 10:32am
  GONZO, me thinks Barry has his sights set on being Secretary General of the United Nations. Another good reason to kick the UN out of New York. Perhaps sent to; Kenya?
  
  Report this comment
- Gonzo
  Posted on October 8, 2012 at 10:46am
  I’m wounded by your piercing wit once again Wango. how can I go on?
  
  Report this comment
- AvengerK
  Posted on October 8, 2012 at 1:35pm
  that race card is a little dog-eared there WHACKO/HORSEDANCER/ad nauseum…perhaps your keepers need to give you some new material?
  
  Report this comment
- Wango
  Posted on October 8, 2012 at 7:06pm
  GONZXO . . .Admitting defeat like you just did is the first step. Only 11 to go.
  
  Report this comment
- truthnstuff
  Posted on October 8, 2012 at 9:02pm
  Wango, you have been on your wang too much. It is affecting your brain. You must stop or you will become even dumber, if possible.
  
  Report this comment
Temporal
Posted on October 8, 2012 at 9:28am
Interesting, but models built on back-testing have poor track records when it comes to predicting future events, especially when trying to predict human conduct.

Report this comment
Log in to Reply Reply
HKS
Posted on October 8, 2012 at 9:18am
Romney is successfully slapping the “cool” right off of Obama, soon it won’t be acceptable to display Obama bumper stickers, the sign of a looser and that would make you a looser as well.

Report this comment
Log in to ReplyReply
- 13Lena
  Posted on October 8, 2012 at 9:30am
  They have been right since 1980, so we shall see. I think Romney will be the next President of the United States, if Obama goes quietly.
  
  Report this comment
- Wango
  Posted on October 8, 2012 at 9:32am
  Love the photo. What does it tell us? Ann Romney’s got a fat azz and Mitt’s always turning his back on black people – even the porchies.
  
  Report this comment
- Wango
  Posted on October 8, 2012 at 9:46am
  13LENA . . . Romney wins. Takes away disability benefits for “the good of the country, because we all have to make sacrifices.”
  
  Report this comment
- Sy Kosys
  Posted on October 8, 2012 at 10:12am
  “Porchies for Obama”
  
  Must be a new PAC….
  
  Report this comment
- Gonzo
  Posted on October 8, 2012 at 10:50am
  Wango lashes out wildly as his dreams of a second Obama term fade. Get back to work bell boy.
  Bell Boy! I got to get running now.
  Bell Boy! Keep my lip buttoned down.
  Bell Boy! Carry this baggage out.
  Bell Boy! Always running at someone’s bleedin’ heel.
  You know how I feel, always running at someone’s heel.
  
  Report this comment
- chopperjen
  Posted on October 8, 2012 at 11:00am
  hey wango – michelle obama got hips like a ship and then she forces my kids to eat bird food and crap in school and starve them to death and then she says “let’s move!” Lady, maybe you should take your own advice and do something about your rear end and also move on out of the white house and take your husband with you
  
  Report this comment
- AvengerK
  Posted on October 8, 2012 at 1:42pm
  Is that what you consider “interesting and provocative” WHACKO/HORSEDANCER/ad nauseum? Comments on Ann Romney’s figure? Seriously?
  
  You won’t account for Obama’s debt when asked or his chronic unemployment and non-existent foreign policy but you’ll fall over yourself to offer a churlish comment on Ann Romney’s figure? Is the hurt Obama’s put on the American people not “interesting and provactive” enough for you little fella? You’re the one who bleats that he won’t answer if the post isn’t “interesting and provocative” enough for him…so chronic unemployment, skyrocketing debt and a farce of a foreign policy throughout Obama’s tenure isn’t “interesting” enough for you is that right? But you’ll still battle away to re-elect him even if you’re reduced to comments about a candidate’s wife’s figure? You’re an Idiot.
  
  Report this comment
- AvengerK
  Posted on October 8, 2012 at 1:51pm
  GONZO..careful with the “Bell boy” invocations….Don’t forget WHACKO/HORSEDANCER/ad nauseum plied us not too long ago with tales of his imaginary life as a “desk clerk” at a hotel where Mitt Romney apparently scarred him for life with his words and the rest of the “Bain boys” (WHACKO’s words) upset him to such a degree that he still cannot function properly today because they didn’t shower him with kisses and gratuities for merely doing his imaginary job. The poor old sod….they left him the empty husk of a lefty troll he remains today. Have some pity for the dullard.
  
  Report this comment
- AvengerK
  Posted on October 8, 2012 at 1:56pm
  WHACKO/HORSEDANCER/ad nauseum is merely reciting the “boogah, boogah..let me scare you” strategy Obama has been relegated to in light of Obama’s dismal performance at the debate which negated all the “Romney is a Gordon Gecko” ads the empty chair has been running up until now.
  
  What’s Obama’s economic plan again WHACKO? Oh yes..”more teachers and more green subsidies”. Boy…what a plan.
  
  What about that debt Obama said he’d halve by the end of his sole..sorry “first” term? See it happening WHACKO?
  
  Report this comment
Eastinfection
Posted on October 8, 2012 at 9:18am
“Electoral College Model Predicts Romney Will Win Even Bigger Than Previously Thought in 2012″

Who writes these headlines? Yoda?

How bout this:
“Electoral College Model Predicts Romney Will Win Even Bigger in 2012 Than Previously Thought”

please keep your participles under control!

Report this comment
Log in to Reply Reply
Carlinpa
Posted on October 8, 2012 at 9:15am
Yeah this sounds like great news. But I think they forgot to account for the “racial” factor. The ” I’m gettin some Obama cash!” ” I getting free gas” “because he black” etc. I think any other election this would be completely accurate. I feel the differential caused by the independents switching, the increase in enthusiasm in Republicans, the additional support of The Tea Party, and the disenchantment of some democrats should be more than enough for Romney to win. I pray to God!

Report this comment
Log in to ReplyReply
- Angry-Elf
  Posted on October 8, 2012 at 9:57am
  they are talkin’ Electoral College not Popular vote…
  
  Report this comment
- HI_Don
  Posted on October 8, 2012 at 3:23pm
  Don’t forget, those too lazy to work and eager for the free phone, eventually prove to be too lazy to get off the welfare couch and vote, unless picked up, take to the polls, paid for the service, and instructed where to make their illiterate mark. And as has been proven in some recent on the street interviews, they can’t even keep the story straight on who they think is the guy providing the stuff, like when asked “So, do you think Obama picked V.P. Ryan because he is black, or because he supports Gay marriage?” Answer “Probably a little of both”
  The real issue is will Obama have enough money and energized support from his base of ACORN, the Black Panthers, Radical Preachers, Union thugs, Communists, Socialists, Anarchists, Green Zelots, FemaNazis, Peace nicks, illegal aliens, elite hollywood utopians, OWS, New World Order, Radical Islam, Anti-Capitalist, and George Soros. It would appear to me that he has told so many lies and been so lazy he has pissed off most of these groups at least once and each of them are wondering if he can do all he has promised, even in back door deals. Too many of his radical pals have opposing ideals (some common ground) but none of them want to take second seat. Look closely and many are slowly defecting. The collective support wains.
  
  Report this comment
uisignorant
Posted on October 8, 2012 at 9:12am
Sounds good to me, even though I live in Blue Michigan….

Report this comment
Log in to ReplyReply
- JeffJ1985
  Posted on October 8, 2012 at 9:17am
  As do I. Really the blue city of Detroit ruins it for everyone. Here on the west side of the state we’re solid red.
  
  Report this comment
- Cavallo
  Posted on October 8, 2012 at 10:35am
  Maybe it is time to start a movement to create a new State called West Michigan.
  
  Report this comment
- rolla020980
  Posted on October 8, 2012 at 1:01pm
  Hey… if we give Detroit to Canada, then will Chrysler’s ad “Imported from Detroit” be more accurate?
  
  Report this comment
- RedSpotinaBlueState
  Posted on October 8, 2012 at 1:09pm
  I need to move back to Grand Rapids then. Over her in Ann Arbor land, 0bama still rules. It’s sickening.
  
  Report this comment
lifelibertyandthepursuitofhappiness
Posted on October 8, 2012 at 9:12am
Mitt Romney’s win is a win for America’s bright future.

Report this comment
Log in to Reply Reply
KURT1010
Posted on October 8, 2012 at 9:12am
Now obama and the liberals wont believe in polls………

Report this comment
Log in to ReplyReply
- Wango
  Posted on October 8, 2012 at 9:30am
  Now you will . . .what’s the difference? None.
  
  Report this comment
Verceofreason
Posted on October 8, 2012 at 9:12am
Utter ca ca.
Their model is NOT the official model, which puts Obama 100 points ahead of Romney,
Just another Blaze feel good story.

Report this comment
Log in to ReplyReply
- Eastinfection
  Posted on October 8, 2012 at 9:23am
  @VERCE…
  
  “Their model is NOT the official model..”
  
  There is no OFFICIAL Model. That’s why it’s called a “Model”. It’s all speculation/ guessing regardless of the source.
  
  Report this comment
- TheePolitinator
  Posted on October 8, 2012 at 9:25am
  You’re a tool, an imbecile. Go back to media matter lemming punk.
  
  Report this comment
- Verceofreason
  Posted on October 8, 2012 at 10:19am
  I can’t wait for the Biden/Paul thing.
  NOTHING Ryan says or proposes stands up to the SLIGHTEST scrutiny.
  Biden may be gaffe prone but he’s not timid.
  
  Report this comment
- Eastinfection
  Posted on October 8, 2012 at 10:41am
  @VERCE….
  “I always thought that I was okay with arithmetic. [Paul] can run circles around me, and he is honest, he is straightforward, he is sincere. And the budget that he came forward with is just like Paul Ryan. It is a sensible, straightforward, honest, serious budget and it cut the budget deficit just like we did, by $4 trillion.. Erskine Bowles (D) (Huffpo)
  “Ryan is absolutely sincere about wanting to reduce the budget and “his budget is a legitimate proposal”… Barry Obama (interview with Matt Lauer)
  PS.. also looking forward to Biden’s “lack of timidness” in the debate.
  
  Report this comment
legendarytwo
Posted on October 8, 2012 at 9:10am
Romney would win even bigger if he would tie Obama and Bush together on their spending habits and bailout policies. Romney is not like Bush, Obama is.

Report this comment
Log in to ReplyReply
- markjd
  Posted on October 8, 2012 at 9:37am
  Nice idea. If you comapre the 2 there is little difference. I like it..
  
  Report this comment
dublinthewagons
Posted on October 8, 2012 at 9:05am
Its a shame if Obama gets any electoral votes. True is the closer the presidential race. The more trouble there will be.

Report this comment
Log in to Reply Reply
cessna152
Posted on October 8, 2012 at 9:04am
Does that poll account for dead voters?

Report this comment
Log in to ReplyReply
- dublinthewagons
  Posted on October 8, 2012 at 9:11am
  No. The dead vote is not counted. They didn’t answer their new Obama cell phones. Lol
  
  Report this comment
chucksue351
Posted on October 8, 2012 at 9:03am
i wonder if their model included chicago thuggery

Report this comment
Log in to ReplyReply
- Mathchopper
  Posted on October 8, 2012 at 9:12am
  Don’t forget Florida.
  
  Report this comment

It appears that you have Javascript Disabled. Please enable Javascript in your browser preferences for a better user experience on TheBlaze. You can not comment without Javascript enabled.