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Politics

Could Republican Collapse in New England Hand Democrats the Senate?

Oct. 28, 2012 3:47pm Mytheos Holt

WASHINGTON (AP/TheBlaze) — Democrats are counting on their New England friends to help them pick up Senate seats and construct a barrier against losses in Nebraska and elsewhere that could erase their majority.

The National Republican Senatorial Committee has stopped spending money in Maine, where former Gov. Angus King, an independent, leads in the polls. King is seen as likely to side with Democrats if he wins. King has announced that he does not plan to caucus with either party, despite previously holding a party affiliation with the Democrats. However, given the degree to which Republicans in Maine are increasingly focusing on him as their obstacle to taking Maine’s Senate seat, this apparently has convinced no one.

In Massachusetts, Republican Sen. Scott Brown is suddenly considered the underdog against Elizabeth Warren. The latest Rasmussen Reports poll shows Warren leading by five points and over 50 percent, well outside the margin of error. Previous polls have shown Warren up 6. With Massachusetts considered a lock for President Obama, Brown also faces steep headwinds, and even in the event of a Romney victory, would be unlikely to benefit from any coat tails that Romney might have. Brown’s increasingly negative campaign signals that his team is aware of this, and are worried, though Warren is still running the more aggressively negative spots. Nevertheless, Brown has been forced into a defensive stance by Warren, with recent ads aimed more at rebutting her attacks than at pressing his own case, and looks to be on the ropes.

Republican hopes of swiping the seat in Connecticut are also fading, though polls in the Nutmeg State are considerably more volatile than in Massachusetts. Nevertheless, it has been almost a month since Republican nominee Linda McMahon held an outright lead in the polls, with current numbers showing at best a tie between her and Democrat Chris Murphy, and at worst a 6 point deficit. An unusually contentious series of primary debates has also stepped up the acrimony in this race, with each side fighting to define the other as unacceptable. McMahon’s recent ads, however, have skewed more positive.

The loss of two seats in New England complicates the GOP calculation for majority control. Republicans would have to gain a net of six seats, five seats if Mitt Romney wins the presidency. Democrats currently have the edge, 53-47. However, that kind of gain looks increasingly difficult to achieve, as currently the only favorably leaning pickup for the GOP is the open Nebraska seat, where Republican nominee Deb Fischer is beating Democratic nominee Bob Kerrey.

Other areas where pickups were thought to be more certain, however, are either locked in a tie or falling outside the GOP’s reach. In Pennsylvania, a raft of favorable recent polling has buoyed the candidacy of Republican nominee Tom Smith, who is now locked in a tie with incumbent Democratic Senator Bob Casey. Montana Democratic Senator Jon Tester has slid slightly against challenger Danny Rehberg, giving Republicans a chance in a state that is otherwise considered a lock for Mitt Romney, and where coat tails could propel their nominee to victory. In North Dakota, despite a stronger than usual showing by Democratic nominee Heidi Heitkamp, Republican nominee Rick Berg leads in the most recent polling.

However, these are the lone bright spots for the GOP, which is otherwise either fighting an uphill battle to pick up new seats or besieged in its attempts to keep hold of its old seats. In Missouri, the implosion of Republican nominee Todd Akin after a series of universally condemned comments about “legitimate rape” has left Democratic Senator Claire McCaskill a clear favorite, especially given the refusal by the National Republican Senatorial Committee (NRSC) to invest in the race. Popular Ohio Senator Sherrod Brown has thus far managed to keep ahead of his Republican challenger Josh Mandel in spite of the state’s razor thin margins in polling on the Presidential race. In Wisconsin, Democrat Tammy Baldwin is narrowly leading former Governor Tommy Thompson, who recently came under fire for comments by his son suggesting that President Obama go back to Kenya. And in Indiana, where GOP nominee Richard Mourdock recently came under fire for controversial comments about abortion in the case of rape, Democratic nominee Joe Donnelly may be eyeing a pickup opportunity.

In other words, the loss of a seat that was symbolic of rising Republican power in 2010 (Scott Brown’s seat), and the inability of the GOP to make up for the likely loss of former Maine Senator Olympia Snowe’s Senate seat is not a problem Republicans can afford this year in its battle to keep the Senate. Indeed, given the momentum enjoyed by Republican presidential nominee Mitt Romney, the latter looks almost certain to face a divided government if he assumes the presidency next year.

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Comments (77)

woodcellar
Posted on October 28, 2012 at 9:08pm
If Romney wins and there is no budget, he can decide what get wack and the Dem won’t be able to do anything about it. Big O set whe pressident. OSHA, PBS, EPA, Education and many more., Sell of some of the Public land for mining and drilling and turn them over to the states. Clinton sold the Navies oil reserves at tea pot dome. I’d defund all non profits, Cut the federal pay roll by at least 65%.
No budget would make it easier.

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- wordsofwisdom
  Posted on October 28, 2012 at 11:00pm
  I got to wonder how stupid one has to be in order to vote for E. Warren in the face of her obvious misrepresentation of who she is? The woman lie’s! What else do you need to know? She is attached to Obama’s hip. What else do you need to know? She is anti American. What else do you need to know?
  This is her song “The Devils Song” http://www.twitmusic.com/cyou_in_song/songs/the-devils-song
  What else do you need to know?
  
  Report this comment
- Zurich
  Posted on October 29, 2012 at 6:18am
  First we need to get Romney into the White House and if we don’t get the Senate this year we will have to work harder in two years and get the majority.
  
  Report this comment
- Rampart
  Posted on October 29, 2012 at 2:14pm
  HOW IN THE EVER-LOVING WORLD IS ELIZABETH WARREN EVEN A CONTENDER!?!
  
  Unbelievable.
  
  Report this comment
- patricking49
  Posted on October 29, 2012 at 6:09pm
  I have to wonder how stupid you have to be to believe everything you hear on Fox News.
  
  Report this comment
- devildogger
  Posted on October 30, 2012 at 2:18am
  Well Patricking some may be, but that is not as bad as gullible and EVERYBODY who votes for Obama is monumentally gullible.
  
  Report this comment
TDOM
Posted on October 28, 2012 at 7:59pm
IF the Senate stays in Harmful Harry’s hands – We will have four more years without a budget – Hes a corrupt liberal cancer. right in the heart of America.

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- HappyConservative
  Posted on October 28, 2012 at 8:30pm
  I can’t take any more Harry Reid and another 4 more years of NO BUDGET. Please please pray that we take the Senate!
  
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- libertylouise
  Posted on October 29, 2012 at 3:49pm
  HELP! HELP! HELP!
  It’s EXTREMELY IMPORTANT to Donate to Richard MOURDOCK – TODAY! If he WINS SENATE then HARRY REID will LOSE his POSITION!!
  PLEASE GOOGLE “Richard Mourdock” and DONATE to HIS Campaign Website. He NEEDS ONLY $17, 549. more. If 35K people Doante $5.00 – We CAN make this Possible. $10.00 would be Better and ONLY 17, 549 people across the US to make this happen.
  
  Report this comment
Watchingtheweasels
Posted on October 28, 2012 at 7:05pm
If the democrats keep the senate, they keep obamacare.

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- jhaydeng
  Posted on October 28, 2012 at 8:24pm
  Scott Brown sealed his fate a long time ago with his voting! Look back at his record!
  
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- SITDOWNANDSHUTUP
  Posted on October 29, 2012 at 12:04pm
  If they keep Obamacare, expect unemployment to skyrocket. I know of many companies that will freeze all hiring, and we already know of companies that will just shut their doors if BS/BO wins. For this country, nothing could be worse than a BS/BO win.
  
  I cannot understand MA voters. Pale Face Warren?????? really?????? I have NO respect for MA voters. NONE. I’ve met some true idiots in my lifetime, but MA voters are the cream of the crop in Idiotland.
  
  Report this comment
- brassia1
  Posted on October 29, 2012 at 4:35pm
  Well, Brown ran on republican ticket, took 10 millions dollars raised by tea party and after he won he did show his real colors, didn’t he? He voted with democrats most of the time…..so what difference does it make Warren or Brown? They Both stink!
  
  Report this comment
pissantno.10
Posted on October 28, 2012 at 6:59pm
if they vote her in , they just want a new reservation in main so they can build casinos

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Fitzzz
Posted on October 28, 2012 at 6:39pm
There needs to be consequences when politicians lie
and I mean more than them just saying sorry
It has now become the norm, I’M sure it startted long before the Kennedy’s
Than the Clintons raised it to an art form
I think someone like Debbie Wasserman Schultz should be punished, for all the lies, and the hate she spews out
And Warren and her tall tales are only slightly behind Debbie

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- goengo
  Posted on October 31, 2012 at 3:54pm
  If YOUR Senator or Congressman lies, write them a letter. I just sent a letter to one of my Senators who appeared on TV and blatently lied about Romney’s position on abortion. I wrote to him, giving the facts, and telling him that I expect HONESTY from my representatives in Washington, no matter what political party, and even during an election season. I also asked him to RESPOND. If everyone does this, we can change the country. Just be CERTAIN you have your facts correct before you write.
  
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Master_and_Commander
Posted on October 28, 2012 at 6:17pm
Well I’ll tell you what, I’m driving through Boston this weekend, and I’ve seen a whole lot more Romney/Ryan and Scott Brown signs than Obama/Biden and Elizabeth Warren signs. Not exactly scientific, but it definitely shows where the momentum lies…

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- Xplorer
  Posted on October 28, 2012 at 9:54pm
  I drove through Iowa (Glenwood area) and saw similar, it was Romney/Ryan signs just about 2 out of 3 signs. Romney signs were mostly on the commercial thoroughfares while the Obama signs were mostly in residential.
  
  Report this comment
bikerdogred1
Posted on October 28, 2012 at 6:12pm
Any state that would elect Barney Franks ,so many times are a bunch of a-holes and the nut job Warren would be a shoe-in.

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- RoaRock
  Posted on October 28, 2012 at 6:18pm
  I completely agree. Warren is a liar, but it doesn’t matter to the people of Mass.
  
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- Gonzo
  Posted on October 29, 2012 at 7:20am
  My expectations for Massachusetts are equally as low.
  
  Report this comment
- Stelex
  Posted on October 29, 2012 at 9:02am
  I work in Mass, talk to a lot of people……..they just don’t get it there. My expectations are low and it boggles my mind, Warrens a nutjob.
  
  Report this comment
- woodyl1011fl
  Posted on October 30, 2012 at 1:34am
  You have just accurately described the voters of the “Peoples Socialist Republic of Massachusetts”. If the angel Gabriel and Lucifer were on their ballot they would vote for Lucifer for their senator or for president the rest of New England would do the same. In this election they probably vote for the Saul Alinsky Marxist revolutionary over a weak minded eastern establishment republican. Samuel and John Adams and Paul Revere must turning over in their graves knowing that the legacy of liberty freedom and God given rights are being destroyed by their descendants in favor of being slaves to the state. the birth of great nation began here with great passion and dedication and the death of the same nation is being pursued with equal passion and dedication made possible by the willfull ignorance of fools.
  
  Report this comment
The-Monk
Posted on October 28, 2012 at 6:05pm
To all The Blaze staff that live and work in New York and the surrounding areas.

Our prayers and best wishes for your safety through this nasty storm.

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- pissantno.10
  Posted on October 28, 2012 at 6:52pm
  ya for the others i hope ya can swim. and we wont miss ya either
- AndySchmandy
  Posted on October 29, 2012 at 5:16am
  Pissant… hahahahahahahah!
  
  Report this comment
semihardrock
Posted on October 28, 2012 at 5:53pm
ALL New England States are set up as Communist States just like in every other continent.

EXAMPLE: “Infrastructure” is paid directly through US Federal Government “grants” unlike other States that pay for some of it themselves. Connecticut taxes Social Security Benefits as income when other States do not as citizens have already paid taxes through payroll while working until retirement.

Communist States don’t care how they STEAL your money through laws written and made “legal” under the “law”. Soda tax, highest gasoline taxes in country or re-taxing SS Benefits. Stealing your money is what they do to stay in power and control of the police states.

True Freedom does not exist unless THEY are allowed to steal your money….legally of course…

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- Candy Girl
  Posted on October 30, 2012 at 2:12am
  Come to California, we also pay taxes on social security retirement benefits, high state taxes and high gasoline taxes. We also have Governor Brown who thinks we needs a bullet train that goes from no where to no where and he loves to give illegals as many benefits as he can. They have so many benefits that they make more money than working people because they don’t pay for much!
  
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Ghandi was a Republican
Posted on October 28, 2012 at 5:47pm
And this is why the Romney/Ryan turnout is so vital.. The down ticket is critical. It is vital in every State and every district no matter what the polls say. There will be a concerted effort to demonize opponents at the last minute with innuendo and propaganda at the last minute. To bring question to people’s minds. In truth- Obama has never come close to winning any election without it, or the use of some legal disqualification. It could come in any form.

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Snowleopard {gallery of cat folks}
Posted on October 28, 2012 at 5:30pm
I hope we can clean house in the Senate, hold onto the House (or increase the gains) and boot out Obama once and for all.

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toiletclogga
Posted on October 28, 2012 at 5:07pm
New England has turned into a cesspool! Bernie Sanders, an avowed Socialist, and now Elizabeth Warren, a closet Socialist, and known liar and water carrier for the Obama administration!

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- hjablo
  Posted on October 28, 2012 at 5:49pm
  We will have something in common, I live in Oregon and between the nut jobs in Eugene, Portland and Seattle, maybe they can unite with yours in New England and all move to one place. Barney Frank as the Grand Chief, Warren as Minister of Propaganda and Kitzhaber (Oregon Gov.) as Health Care Czar. I guarantee that within a short period of time, any sane, rational people that would live under this group, would be screaming for help and free condoms that are not from China (with holes in them).
  
  Report this comment
- jhaydeng
  Posted on October 28, 2012 at 8:32pm
  It’s disturbing considering the history in New England! I get aggravated every time I go on vacation there! It’s a beautiful part of the country, but a liberal bee hive!
  
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EqualJustice
Posted on October 28, 2012 at 5:05pm
This is so true! I know for SURE they want Spreading Bull Warren. They have spent so much money in MA, it’s insane. Scott Brown can’t touch the millions liberals are spending! They were humiliated when he TOOK their Kennedy seat. I will pray he wins. She is a true COMMIE LIAR. In NH, the funds flow from liberals & UNIONS for Shea Porter and the negative attacks on Guinta are nonstop everywhere. Also our candidate for Gov, Ovide Lamontagne, great conservative, is getting hammered by liberal HASSAN (yes, just like the Ft Hood guy) although she pronounces it with a long A like HASan. Her Muslim husband is questionable. http://granitegrok.com/blog/2012/10/muslim-brotherhood-what-does-maggie-hassan-think-of-her-husbands-islamic-radical-friends-that-he-brings-to-philips-exeter-academy

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- ledbythnose
  Posted on October 28, 2012 at 7:59pm
  Equal Justice
  Any one who votes for Liawatha is either a Fool or completely out of touch with the real World. Scott Brown turned out to be a RINO but he is far better than this Commie lying Native wana be.
  
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SERUM
Posted on October 28, 2012 at 5:01pm
Just goes to prove…witches are still working thier black magic in the New England area!

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Baja
Posted on October 28, 2012 at 4:53pm
The gene pool in Massachusetts has been depleted for quite some time.

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SERUM
Posted on October 28, 2012 at 4:52pm
This just goes to prove….witches are still working the black magic in the New England area.

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soybomb315_II
Posted on October 28, 2012 at 4:32pm
Republicans should make a deal with democrats…..They get Obama and republicans get the senate.

Then republicans could pass budgets and force the federal monster into submission….If they so choose

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- barber2
  Posted on October 28, 2012 at 4:44pm
  Soy: What ?? No deal. Only Cuba , Russia, Pakistan, or Venezuela should GET Obama. We do NOT want him here.
  
  Report this comment
- Eastinfection
  Posted on October 28, 2012 at 5:44pm
  Good call, SOY..
  
  I’ve been telling people for a while now that getting the Senate is actually more important than getting the Presidency…
  
  Report this comment
- pissantno.10
  Posted on October 28, 2012 at 6:55pm
  dips you ever see a deal the libs keep lets take it all . soy bean just wants his free dope
  
  Report this comment
- RivahMitch
  Posted on October 29, 2012 at 12:08pm
  Actually, NOT! As you may recall, the Repubs controlled both houses under Slick Willie but lost in the big show down.
  
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Ghandi was a Republican
Posted on October 28, 2012 at 4:29pm
How do communists get elected in America? They lie. How do they get support in Congress? They lie. How do they get swing votes in Congress? They bribe. The persuasion of power.. You can get paid or you can be demonized. That is the communist’s way.. It is corrupt from it’s earliest beginnings.
It cannot be elected, nor sustained in the light..

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DadRocked
Posted on October 28, 2012 at 4:12pm
Duck and Cover… These guys are scrambling as they see their empire drifting away.

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coyote1hell
Posted on October 28, 2012 at 4:06pm
After the Lies, corruption, deciet, and cowardise of Buh’rack, and his admin.(?)..if you vote Muslicrat, you are a complete Fool..

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- 762x51
  Posted on October 28, 2012 at 4:22pm
  Not a fool, an ENEMY.
  
  Report this comment
- Diane TX
  Posted on October 28, 2012 at 4:28pm
  Coyote,
  
  Your word for those formally known as Democrats fits that Party to a “T”. “Muslicrats”, the Party that is actively working against Americans.
  
  Report this comment
BlackCrow
Posted on October 28, 2012 at 4:05pm
We need to take the Senate. Two more years of Harry Reid refusing to let anything happen will be the end of this country. With a republican President and a powerful Tea Party caucus in the house Harry Reid is going to throw a temper fit and refuse to do anything more controversial than name post offices and blame Republicans for HIS refusal to move on legislation.

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- robot501
  Posted on October 28, 2012 at 5:38pm
  Another truth hidden by the Lame streamers. Harry & Co. not even submitting a budget! Kind of like voting present… can’t hold us accountable, we didn’t do anything!
  
  Report this comment
milkah
Posted on October 28, 2012 at 4:04pm
I live in Massachusetts and will vote for Scott Brown. When I received a flyer showing Elizabeth Warren and the word warning on the front I assumed it was from the Brown campagne, it was not, it was from the chamber of comerse telling me how bad she would be for business. I’ve never seen this before. Here in Western Ma. Brown signs vastly outnumber Warrens but out Boston way, not so much.

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Watermain
Posted on October 28, 2012 at 3:57pm
At this point we can only hope that sanity returns to the population of this once great(est) country and when they go in the booth to vote, with no one looking, they will do the right thing and vote for Romney and republicans so we can try to straighten the mess out.

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Anonymous T. Irrelevant
Posted on October 28, 2012 at 3:56pm
Polls, polls, polls. You can’t solely rely on polls.

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- Gary_K
  Posted on October 28, 2012 at 4:01pm
  Most of the polls are skewed heavily in favor of the dems.
  
  http://www.examiner.com/article/republican-senate-majority-likely-on-election-day
  
  Report this comment
- randy
  Posted on October 28, 2012 at 4:15pm
  Don’t believe the polls.
  Especially here in New York State.
  In my circle of friends, many of them in the past voted for Obama.
  I must have gotten through to them because, not a single one of them
  is voting for Obama this time.
  All are voting for Romney…..
  
  And yes, I’m from NY. but preparing to get to Texas just as soon as I can.
  
  Report this comment
- SERUM
  Posted on October 28, 2012 at 4:49pm
  Hey Randy…bring pizza!!
  
  Report this comment
MAULEMALL
Posted on October 28, 2012 at 3:56pm
omg warren is leading???? are you effin kidding me???

Warren????

Massatoothless is just so efin useless to this country…

If you aren’t a drunk coward who kills a woman you need to be a pimp daddy homersexual or a fake native american who lied EVERY STEP OF HER LIFE to get where she is after spending a few years on her knees in front of the obamama

massacowards is more like it.

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- may40
  Posted on October 28, 2012 at 7:16pm
  I am a citizen of the socialist state of Massachusetts and you are absolutely correct. Honestly, it seems like a waste to vote b/c it’s as if it doesn’t even count but I will continue to go to the polls b/c men and women have given their lives for this “right”. I have some good conservative friends that are politically involved in this state and work very hard. They are constantly swimming against the current. You can’t even imagine the ridiculous thinking of the wealthy academia citizens here. I’ve come to the conclusion that it’s not the nominee we’re at odds with but the uninformed/ignorant/immoral voters.
  
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- GoodStuff
  Posted on October 28, 2012 at 9:27pm
  Here’s an idea. Throw Josh Mandel some money. He can beat commie Sherrod Brown:
  
  http://joshmandel.com/
  
  Report this comment

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