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Could Hurricane Sandy Cost Obama the Election?
Editor’s note: We’ll be talking about this story during today’s live BlazeCast at 1pm ET:
In a race that both sides expected by-and-large to be about planned events, October has been a month full of unscripted twists and turns. From GOP nominee Mitt Romney’s lightning strike of a debate performance at the beginning of the month, which upended the race and sent it careening back toward the challenger, to the failure of preplanned October “surprises” pushed by Donald Trump and Gloria Allred, to the escalating scandal over last month’s Benghazi attacks, this month has defied expectations. And now, at the very end, perhaps the ultimate October surprise – a natural disaster – has hit the East Coast in the form of Hurricane Sandy.
So naturally enough, one question that’s been asked is, how will this impact the election? The answer, thus far, is likely to give supporters of President Barack Obama nervous. The Christian Science Monitor reports:
All the GOP candidate has to do is avoid the appearance that he’s taking political advantage of a potential tragedy – something he failed to do during the early hours of the terrorist attack on the US consulate in Benghazi, Libya.
But if things go wrong with the federal response to Sandy, Obama will be blamed. And the Obama camp in particular is counting on early voters and get-out-the-vote efforts come Election Day.
“Obviously we want unfettered access to the polls because we believe that the more people that come out, the better we’ll do,” top Obama adviser David Axelrod said on CNN Sunday. “And so, to the extent that it makes it harder, that’s a source of concern.”
“I hope that it all clears out and by the next weekend, we’ll be free of it,” Axelrod added.
Reuters adds a caveat that may explain Axelrod’s discombobulation at the potential effects of the storm:
There is some evidence that natural disasters can hurt an incumbent’s re-election chances as voters often blame whoever is in office for adversity.
Research by Larry Bartels of Vanderbilt University and Christopher Achen of Princeton University found that Vice President Al Gore may have lost the election in 2000 because of severe drought and excessive rainfall in seven states.
Bush’s approval ratings plummeted after Hurricane Katrina devastated New Orleans in 2005, and voters could similarly blame Obama if the government fumbles its response to this storm.
National Review election analyst Jim Geraghty picks up this theme, calling 2012 “Year of the Politically Ill-Timed Hurricane.” However, he takes a bit more of a balanced view of the impact of Sandy, suggesting it will impact both parties evenly:
Obviously, early voting is virtually suspended in all of the states experiencing hurricane-force winds, storm surges, etc. Depending on how bad the damage is, you could see some of the most casual, least-motivated voters not bothering to vote a week from Tuesday and focusing on repairing their houses. A few cycles ago, people used to joke that rainy weather was Republican weather; the Republican base was considered much more determined and reliable as voters than the Democrats’ base. And certainly, this year polls have indicated that Republican enthusiasm is off the charts and Democrats’ is down from the 2008 heights. (Apparently Obama’s television ads are sufficiently outrageous to boost Republican enthusiasm to vote against him.) But I think the Democratic base turns out more regularly than it used to and is probably at parity with the Republican one.
So if this lowers turnout a bit in states like Pennsylvania, Virginia and New Hampshire, the first guess would be that it’s bad news for Obama. But right now Romney’s on a (metaphorical) wave.
Both nominees, meanwhile, are walking a fine line between trying to preserve their political edge and avoid looking callous to the concerns of Americans suffering from the effects of Sandy. President Obama has canceled several major events, and returned to Washington. Governor Romney, meanwhile, is continuing to hold events in swing states, but has donated his campaign bus as a courier to bring supplies to hurricane victims. Republican campaign offices are also reportedly being converted into safe spaces for people to take shelter from the storm.
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Comments (274)
AmericanStrega
Posted on October 29, 2012 at 11:24amJust wait. The election will be moved to a later date because people effected by this storm will not be able to get to the polls. Then it will be something else to push the election back…
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BetterInformed
Posted on October 29, 2012 at 11:37amSandy will be well dissipated by Nov.6th. Felled trees, evacuations, power outages, home repairs, etc. will be on peoples minds. Uninterested citizens could likely pass on voting because of the inconvenience. No governor will allow any polling place to go without power.
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LetUsReason
Posted on October 29, 2012 at 11:40amI suspect that may be the case. This election will not be “normal”.
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Alpha Protocol
Posted on October 29, 2012 at 11:42am^This..
I became very suspicious when first hearing about the storm coming…
Obama’s (political) press conference on Hurricane Sandy confirmed this, he’ll do whatever he can to manipulate the process.
I pray this doesn’t happen.
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Jezreel
Posted on October 29, 2012 at 11:53amI have had my suspicions too because we know that we cannot trust anything that Obama says or does. The good news is that God is in control. If Obama is behind anything shady or dishonest or corrupt concerning the elections, it will backfire on him like everything else he has done to try to be in control has. He has a “curse” upon him besides the one we all have when we are born into sin.. He brought a curse upon his life and family because of his lifestyle. He will reap what he sows.
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Female
Posted on October 29, 2012 at 11:56amMichele warned everyone to vote early in case of your toilet overflowing, plus advanced warning for all those states. Therefore, the storm excuse is canceled due to lack of interest.
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1947
Posted on October 29, 2012 at 12:01pmThe Lord is STRONG…… Obama
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taintso
Posted on October 29, 2012 at 12:04pmThat won’t affect the dead that vote for Obummer.
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PYPYPY
Posted on October 29, 2012 at 12:13pmBO is going to “milk” this big time!!! He has already started!!!It would not change my vote and I hope it would not for everyone else!!!
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AmericaMustBeFree
Posted on October 29, 2012 at 12:14pmThe headline should read, is this the perfect storm Obama needed to stop the election.. to remain in power?? I recieved this in a email today and found it fascinating. Watch and see what you think! Does anyone remember hurricane Sandy of 1997.. or the hurricane in 1938?? http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=z3HAfjTCKk8&feature=plcp
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fastfacts
Posted on October 29, 2012 at 12:37pmAnother thing that could hurt his campaign… is HIS CAMPAIGN ADS ON SEX.
The GOP did respond though. Now its time for THE BREAKUP. New ad released to respond to Obama’s immature ‘first time’ ad: http://www.thedailycandidate.com/video/2012/oct/gop_respond_breakup.html
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loriann12
Posted on October 29, 2012 at 12:37pmConservative voters will get to the polls no matter what, because they see the country’s and their children’s futures at stake. Liberal voters won’t because they think there are enough of them anyway, or it will be rigged, and their attention span isn’t that long anyway.
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pdw
Posted on October 29, 2012 at 1:14pmI can see it now, if Obama loses it will be Hurricane Sandy’s fault.
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BetterInformed
Posted on October 29, 2012 at 1:39pmThe constitution states that the national election shall take place on the same day for all states. This can only be changed by amendment. We can assume that the storm will have passed and all polling locations will be open. Some will argue that voters couldn’t get to the polls. This argument becomes less credible as others successfully manage to cast their votes on election day.
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cloudsofwar
Posted on October 29, 2012 at 1:52pmamerican….. i heard that the election will be held on nov 6 & 7 if needed. they said this a few days ago. and now BO is back in washington to step in to help the american people who are hurt by the storm. OUR GUYS IN LIBYA? HE DIDN’T HELP, THEY DIED.
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poorrichard09
Posted on October 29, 2012 at 2:18pmPresident Obvious was on TV reading off the telepromter and telling us things we already know.
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MIBUGNU2
Posted on October 29, 2012 at 2:54pmThank God, if it does..I may start going back to Church..
Born and raised Catholic, but haven’t been in a whle….
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RevPh
Posted on October 29, 2012 at 3:19pmEven if the election goes on as scheduled, the Progs will no doubt accuse the Reps of “stealing the election” and there will be riots in the streets if Romney is declared the winner. Anyone surprised by this? I have felt there would be some sort of “emergency” that BO would use to postpone or cancel, declare martial law and remain in power. King Obama? God help us all.
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THERAPTURCOMES
Posted on October 29, 2012 at 3:28pmSTORM WARNING, URGENT
If you are on the east coast and about to go through the force you need to watch this video http://youtu.be/9ymGnLDJihs because you just may face your own death and if you do, you will want to know what to do.
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WAKEUPUSA2012
Posted on October 29, 2012 at 3:43pmCould anyone really beleive that hurricane Sandy is not weather manipulation, or geoengineering at its finest? Check out this report. Watch the second video down on the forst link. This 100 year, once in a lifetime, totally crazy timing storm is a little odd.
http://weatherwars.info/
http://www.infowars.com/could-hurricane-sandy-be-weather-modification-at-work/
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wordsofwisdom
Posted on October 29, 2012 at 4:22pmIf you believe in prophetic things happening then this storm is on your radar as possibly such an event. This storm seems to have a target? Just saying! “The End Times” http://www.twitmusic.com/cyou_in_song/songs/the-end-times
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AmericanPatriot
Posted on October 29, 2012 at 4:22pmI think “Sandy”, by it’s very existence at this particular time and impacting the areas it’s impacting, provides the answer. God is the one, the only one, in control. He’s putting is finger on this country again. His will be done! Blessings to us all!!!!!!
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turkey13
Posted on October 29, 2012 at 4:32pmJust in from moveon.org that so folks won’t be disinfrancised because they can’t vote early Obama has moved election day to Nov. 20Th. He has also done a executive order allowing everyone to vote by computer. The White House is sitting up a web site keyed off of the WH computer system.
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kennycannon
Posted on October 29, 2012 at 4:36pmthe job numbers will be delayed.
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FormerLib
Posted on October 29, 2012 at 5:39pmI’m pretty sure it is Obama who will cost Obama the election.
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koyettsu
Posted on October 29, 2012 at 6:44pmEven God is trying to prevent Obama from being reelected.
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Bluebonnet
Posted on October 29, 2012 at 7:12pmJust HOW could Sandy cost obama the election? She’ll have a punch on everyone on the East Coast, but why would she single out obama? Oh, Boo Hoo is he gonna try to blame his lost election on the Storm? Bet you won’t hear this kind of whinning from Romney.
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WATER-THE-TREE
Posted on October 29, 2012 at 8:31pmI have watched FOX and they are talking about the storm — I turned on MSNBC and they are worried about early voting and just how they can keep the polls open later. I can only assume that early voting is how they commit voter fraud!
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WATER-THE-TREE
Posted on October 29, 2012 at 8:41pmIf Obama cries that it is Sandy’s fault and that his people could not get to the polls, then it only proves that even GOD has had enough of this fool in office!!!!!!!
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WATER-THE-TREE
Posted on October 29, 2012 at 9:05pmSNBC is pathetic, With all of Bammy’s lies and evil in the middle east all they can talk about is Romney’s tax returns and the like, they are saying Romney is desperate etc. If there were such a thing as a bottomless pit Only MSNBC could reach the bottom!
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dmerwin
Posted on October 29, 2012 at 9:18pmThere will be “spontaneous” pictures of Barry rescuing a pekinese from a puddle and this will flash to “The View” and BSNBC in seconds.
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dmerwin
Posted on October 29, 2012 at 9:20pmWhy even HAVE an election. This just may be the “state of emergency” he needs to fully “suspend” democracy and the federal republic in favor of a “Hope and Change” dictatorship.
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Lute760
Posted on October 29, 2012 at 10:04pmVOTE FOR NOBODY 2012!!!
Nobody will keep election promises.
Nobody will listen to your concerns.
Nobody will help the poor and unemployed.
Nobody cares!
If Nobody is elected, things will be better for everyone.
Nobody tells the truth.
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Mickey67
Posted on October 29, 2012 at 11:23amObama will call martial law and suspend the elections because of Sandy. I’m sure this isn’t that far out the question.
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Eastinfection
Posted on October 29, 2012 at 11:30amMICK…..
The Presidential election has never been postponed ever… but keep THIS in mind:
Constitutionally, Congress has the authority to delegate its powers to the President, including the power to postpone elections. So while the President does not currently have the power to postpone elections, this could change at any time in the future should Congress choose to relinquish this power.
http://www.ehow.com/facts_7210667_presidential-power-postpone-elections.html#ixzz2AhGmEjPE
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Amica
Posted on October 29, 2012 at 11:49amI confess that crossed the paranoid cynical part of my mind!
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yoshik
Posted on October 29, 2012 at 12:26pmCongress will NEVER allow it to be postponed. It is full of the good guys.
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thegreatcarnac
Posted on October 29, 2012 at 2:54pmBy Law….he cannot delay a presidential election, no matter what. However…since when has this marxist let the law stop him.
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Brad Wesselmann
Posted on October 29, 2012 at 11:23amKeep getting on your knees people and pray for Divine Providence to return and save the last bastion of freedom left in the world. For those that are impacted by the storm, pray twice as I will be doing the same for their safety and deliverance. All things are possible through God. :-)
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midcoastmainepatriot
Posted on October 29, 2012 at 11:33amAmen
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cloudsofwar
Posted on October 29, 2012 at 2:00pmi’ll second that AMEN.
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Tracker3
Posted on October 29, 2012 at 3:31pmMillions of Americans have been participating in the 40 days of prayer which started in September. The idea is to pray for the country 40 days before the election. Many are joining that with fasting. Indeed we all need to do what we can to protect this nation and we really need to remember that we were founded “under God”. When they tried to take the name of God out of everything at the Democratic convention, that did it for many people. Let’s pray they vote.
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saved4ever
Posted on October 29, 2012 at 3:32pmAmen! Well said.
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Boondox
Posted on October 29, 2012 at 6:29pmI think most people may be misunderstanding this storm, it may just be gods answer to so many prayers. God promised never to take our free agency, but he can certainly send a massive cyclone to scare all the weasels back into their holes.
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rockymtngal
Posted on October 29, 2012 at 11:22amObama has already promised to cut the “red tape”. Apparently he didn’t feel like cutting the “red tape” when it came to Benghazi. Obama didn’t have the backs of those under fire from terrorists: those who asked for help: and watched the horror unfold as he watched the live feeds from drones as he & everyone under him cooked up lies. Sandy won’t save his arse now.
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Master.Debater
Posted on October 29, 2012 at 11:22amSandy hitting all those blue states can’t be good for Obama, especially when he is suffering from an enthusiasm gap.
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ropati
Posted on October 29, 2012 at 12:55pmDo you suppose God may be unhappy with Obama’s indifference to Benghazi? Kind of ironic that this hurricane is hitting the blue states. “When you have helped the least of these, you have helped Me.” The Bible tells us that government officials serve with the consent of God. God is watching …
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YallComeBack
Posted on October 29, 2012 at 11:21amLose simply because of the storm?
No. Obama has already made it clear that the government’s (his) checkbook is out, already signed and the amount is blank. New England, just fill in how mush you want/need. It’s Christmas in October!
Beside- the storm will be UNfair! Unfair! Unfair! Why, we just MUST keep the polls open longer for all those people who WOULD have voted but didn’t (with more time for mischief among those who “count” the votes in the northeast.
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DZ-015
Posted on October 29, 2012 at 11:56amChristmas in October if it is New England Sandy claws?
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Zurich
Posted on October 29, 2012 at 11:21amCandy is not there to help him, Valerie is out of ideas, Michelle is pissed off and Sandy will kick his **** out of office!
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Minnaloushe
Posted on October 29, 2012 at 11:19amThey’re probably hoping for mass fatalities to swell the democrat voter rolls.
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Cibolo
Posted on October 29, 2012 at 11:37amSeriously? Weather may have a little to do with it, but I would think the 4 murders in Benghazi that Obama is covering up “should” be more of a factor for him. Unfortunately, the corrupt MSM is now saying that not only are republicans racist for anything they say, but the only reason that this is being brought up is political.
Funny how the democrats and main stream media “step over and ignore the dead bodies in order to stop the questions about their president rather than just answering some basic questions.
Why
THEN was initial, FALSE information about the bogus YouTube video put out about the Benghazi attacks and WAS NOT CONSIDERED TOP SECRET
But
NOW, when there is TRUE information that would surely incriminate Obama and his Administration regarding the attacks in Benghazi, IS CONSIDERED TOP SECRET
This is not POLITICAL, THIS IS TREASONOUS!!!!!!!
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00100111
Posted on October 29, 2012 at 11:18amSo let’s see the difference between how each candidate has responded to this. Romney is using his own bus, his own money, his time to collect donations and supplies to provide to shelters and to people who are affected by this storm. Obama has come out saying “He’s afraid it could affect voter turnout.”
Priorities, gentlemen. Priorities.
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Capt_Gregg
Posted on October 29, 2012 at 11:39amAside from how Obama and Romney react, there is another factor to consider. The most heavily Democratic areas are in the urban cores, and rely on public transportation. Combining this year’s lack of enthusiasm on the part of Obama’s base with the crippled public transportation systems making it more difficult to get to the polls, the majority of votes lost will be those that would have gone to Obama. His loss of votes in Philadelphia alone could cost Obama Pennsylvania.
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SAVETHEUNION
Posted on October 29, 2012 at 11:17amBehold His mighty hand.
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JeffersonsPen
Posted on October 29, 2012 at 11:31amThis thought I can not shake. As a gulf coaster I’ve learned that it’s ok to pray it doesnt get you……..with no intent to harm others but ……..It seems the majority of the Blue states are in her path!
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LetUsReason
Posted on October 29, 2012 at 12:01pmThe Almighty used storms on several occasions (Long Island, Boston, Princeton, etc) during the Revolutionary War to save this nation. You won’t find those details in your high school textbook. Stand back and watch the hand of God!
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NancyBee
Posted on October 29, 2012 at 4:46pm“The voice of the Lord is over the waters; the God of glory thunders, the Lord, over many waters. The voice of the Lord is powerful; the voice of the Lord is full of majesty.” Psalms 29; 3, 4
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madasblazes
Posted on October 29, 2012 at 6:45pmI see His mighty hand, too!!!
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momrules
Posted on October 29, 2012 at 11:16amNo, this storm won’t cost O the election. It will just mean more work for the unions and ACORN as they cheat to make up for any loss of Dem votes.
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AJAYW
Posted on October 29, 2012 at 11:16amI hope something does – like people understand that he is a known liar and is out to distory our country.
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lylejk
Posted on October 29, 2012 at 11:13amIf this storm does indeed cost BO the election then, as I already read, God is definitely in control. Still, never underestimate the evil puppet masters pulling the strings. Read Eph. Ch.6. :)
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Snowleopard {gallery of cat folks}
Posted on October 29, 2012 at 11:19amGod is in control to the end. I will not put it past Obama to try and use this storm to declare a national emergency and marital law so as to try and grab absolute power.
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321481
Posted on October 29, 2012 at 11:27amHey Snow, this guy is capiable of anything, I mean anything, he has no moral standards that guide his actions, he is evil and down right mental.
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IMCHRISTIAN
Posted on October 29, 2012 at 12:00pmIt is the lies and wrong decision making that will cost him the election.
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Snowleopard {gallery of cat folks}
Posted on October 29, 2012 at 12:41pm@3214
Agreed, I hope and pray it does not come to a civil war; yet with Obama, we can expect him to hold onto his office until dragged out after Romney is sworn in.
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C.erwin
Posted on October 29, 2012 at 1:11pmHashem is diverting votes from Obama.
” For we do not wrestle against flesh and blood, but against principalities,against powers, against the rulers of the darkness of this age,against spiritual hosts of wickedness in the heavenly places.
Therefore take up the whole armor of God, that you may be able to stand the evil day, and having done all, to stand.” (Ephe 6:12-13)
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oneshiner
Posted on October 29, 2012 at 1:25pmMay have to be dragged out of WH. Remember the damage the Clinton people did to the WH and all the office machinery? Glued keys down on computers? Sick, angry people who didn’t hurt the Bushes as much as the cost to the rest of the Country to repair the damage these hateful people caused.
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cloudsofwar
Posted on October 29, 2012 at 2:05pmsnow…. never let a crisis go to waste.
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Brittany-Imbriaarts
Posted on October 29, 2012 at 11:12amWatch it be the excuse used as to why Obama loses big. Count on it be blamed on Sandy discouraging voters to vote or making difficult to vote.
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00100111
Posted on October 29, 2012 at 11:20amThey’ll cry for a re-vote. They’ll blame Obama’s loss on a hurricane (even though they can still come out on Nov 6). They’ll still riot, they’ll still burn down their own neighborhoods.
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Master.Debater
Posted on October 29, 2012 at 11:20amAnd don’t forget Bush is to blame for hurricanes because he didn’t support the Kyoto treaty.
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Female
Posted on October 29, 2012 at 11:52amNot if Romney wins California, come on they might surprise by sitting home! Californians just had their wealth decimated in the past 4 years. They probably are pissed at prices being so high. Romney promises gas prices to go down. He has a home in CA….every once in a while when their wallets get light, they go Republican.
Don’t be discouraged in those blue to light blue states: Vote because the polls are skewed based on the past rather than just the past 4 years.
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Dougral Supports Israel
Posted on October 29, 2012 at 11:10amI expect to hear that storms like Sandy are caused by “climate change” and that we must re-elect Obama to put our planet on the path to healing.
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NancyBee
Posted on October 29, 2012 at 4:49pmlol
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msswim.com
Posted on October 29, 2012 at 11:10amBenghazi only cost 4 to 5 votes, so he didn’t bother with a rescue.
Hurricane Sandy is going to affect millions of possible voters. *Time to make the doughnuts*
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bigbear_awake
Posted on October 29, 2012 at 11:09amthis will be M L WATCH AND SEE
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321481
Posted on October 29, 2012 at 11:06amOne can only hope!
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RamonPreston
Posted on October 29, 2012 at 11:18amI would smile for a week. However, I think he will be reelected. I have met too many (stupid) Americans who think he’s doing a “good job.” Only people who know how to use a computer have any idea of the facts. Most people get “10 minutes of news at 10″ and think they are well informed.
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Bluebonnet
Posted on October 29, 2012 at 11:20amI’ve prayed daily and often for any intervention from God.
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bobbert
Posted on October 29, 2012 at 11:06amSince I know there is a God in Heaven…yes. Whatever it takes to get this abomination out of office and his feckless little minions with him…..there is going to be a HUGE party on Nov 7th…a day of praise for God and a day of celebration unbridled.
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321481
Posted on October 29, 2012 at 11:15amEven if he does loose, will he leave peacefully? That is what I am worried about.
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AvengerK
Posted on October 29, 2012 at 11:18amRasmussen is reporting Romney up in Ohio…Obama’s in trouble.
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oneshiner
Posted on October 29, 2012 at 12:11pmSpent most of yesterday reading the book by Ed Klein, “The Amateur” about obama & michelle. I’m about 3/4 finished and appalled at what these people have done to our Nation. Just because obama may be a smart community organizer doesn’t give him the smarts to be President. This is why many people and many on his staff call him “THE AMATEUR”
He listens to Valarie Jarrett more than he listens to his advisers, and she’s been wrong more often than those who understand how to run this country. This book is a MUST READ.
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gigalynx
Posted on October 29, 2012 at 11:06amDivine Intervention Glenn!
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MrKnowItAll
Posted on October 29, 2012 at 11:05amDivine Providence.
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Gonzo
Posted on October 29, 2012 at 11:04amFour years of abysmal failure wasn’t enough, we needed wind and rain to seal the deal?
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thibx
Posted on October 29, 2012 at 11:13amif my people will humble themselves and pray God promises he will answer. he sends storms if he has to.
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Gonzo
Posted on October 29, 2012 at 11:26amTell Him a well aimed lightning bolt would be greatly appreciated.
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65Mustang
Posted on October 29, 2012 at 12:32pmGONZO, I hope the lightening bolt hits him between the eyes, although his lying mouth would make a good target.
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Chester62
Posted on October 29, 2012 at 11:03amThis storm is all Obama’s fault, he simply hasn’t done enough to prevent it and I am not letting the campaigner in chief off the hook!
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AvengerK
Posted on October 29, 2012 at 11:11amCome on CHESTER…he only promised that the oceans would stop rising..he didn’t say anything about storms.
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AvengerK
Posted on October 29, 2012 at 11:01amIt’s in very poor taste to politicize the potential loss of life and property due to this storm.
If you’re looking for loss of life due to political concerns, look no further than what took place in Benghazi. Obama’s reluctance to act on his duty to protect Americans overseas due to the political fallout he would suffer is vulgar enough.
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Tri-ox
Posted on October 29, 2012 at 10:59amobama is already ‘toast’ – Sandy will just make him ‘soggy toast’.
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Cavallo
Posted on October 29, 2012 at 11:02amPlease let it be so!
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godlovinmom
Posted on October 29, 2012 at 11:06amThats exactly what I was thinking…obama lost this election way before Sandy came along…she is the least of his problems!
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PYPYPY
Posted on October 29, 2012 at 12:56pmSandy is NOT going to make me change my vote. In fact it is even more critical to vote BO out. The Govt is already in a big hole/debt and with so many states declaring state of emergencies and the amt of $$ required to clean up, will be enormous. we need our economy to recover even quicker, not at the snail pace!!!
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