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Environment

Leaked Draft of U.N. Climate Report Suggests Two Decades of Overestimated Global Warming

Jan. 29, 2013 9:30pm Jason Howerton

(Source: FoxNews.com)

A preliminary draft of a report by the U.N’s Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change was leaked to the public earlier this month and now climate change skeptics are arguing it shows evidence of 20 years of global warming overestimation.

Someone involved with the U.N.’s IPCC review process reportedly leaked the draft and made it available for download online. The report shows that each of the four temperature models the U.N. body has published since 1990 has overestimated the rise in temperature on planet Earth. The report wasn’t actually supposed to be released until 2014.

“Temperatures have not risen nearly as much as almost all of the climate models predicted,” Roy Spencer, a climatologist at the University of Alabama at Huntsville, told FoxNews.com.

“Their predictions have largely failed, four times in a row… what that means is that it’s time for them to re-evaluate,” he added.

Comments (82)

rickroland
Posted on January 30, 2013 at 10:09pm
You know, this points up a funny thing about the “science” of global war — er — climate change.

Science, experiments and observations of the results, checking of work and duplicating results, ends up with laws that, once fully verified, note the phenomena and then can predict future phenomena.

If there was any specific physical laws that encompass “climate change” then such laws could be used to predict future instances of “climate change” either every time or in the greatest majority of cases (in which case, some exceptions would be tested and codified, etc.).

There absolutely no science to “climate change” at all, there is no physical law (or laws) that can be shown to conclusively determine that climate change occurs and accurately predict that future climate change (whether man-made or other) will occur.

As such, climate change is a buzz word, at best, used by some to bilk monies from governments (and their citizenry) and also to inflict completely bogus laws that deny freedom of living, commerce, travel, etc. upon those same citizenry that are having their pockets picked in the name of it.

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Commander8080
Posted on January 30, 2013 at 2:56pm
This and then a few years ago top scientist from around the globe admitted that there forecast models did not work and they altered data to make them work. And two top hurricane scientists retire after 20 year claiming that their forecast model did not work either and for 20 years they were basically guessing.

How much more proof do we need to climate change is a hoax by world scientists. They all need to be brought up on fraud and other charges.

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toledofan
Posted on January 30, 2013 at 2:05pm
Another no surpise here, but, just look at all the money people made off of this. Isn’t it just amazing to think that guys like Al Gore made bizzilions and others are still trying to cash in. If you look at China and their polution and compare it to our worst city, I’d venture to say we’d be at least 100% better, but, to perpetuate the lie everyone is made to believe we are the biggest problem because we have the most money. I don’t know about everyone else but for me this entire global warning hoax has been debunked enough times to be now a total lie. Anyone who thinks this religion is sacred is just nuts.

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bankerpapaw
Posted on January 30, 2013 at 1:55pm
Come to Arkansas and spend a couple of days with me. Our climate changes EVERY day.

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John.Galt
Posted on January 30, 2013 at 1:49pm
“the model projections … do not fully account for natural variability.”

Yet we are still supposed to believe them… MORONS!

I say if you believe in man-made global warming due to CO2, then STOP EXHALING!

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MrRcGuy
Posted on January 30, 2013 at 12:14pm
Silly. I love the fact that the IPCC and Liberal Pols use their indisputable numbers to hammer the public, gin up fear, change policies. However, when somebody uses those exact same numbers to point out the falability of IPCC then the numbers are just estimates and don’t necessarily mean what the detractors say they mean. They are subject to fluctuations. Well then the opposited is true and maybe they fluctuate even further down????

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Silvertruth
Posted on January 30, 2013 at 11:09am
Note that the actual observed variation of that chart is less than .6 degree C. Considering the statistical levels of error, not same station monitoring, and no apparent heat island corrections noted… they aren’t even outside of their margin of error for reporting temperature. That’s statistically saying the data is worthless to make any kind of rational decision on.

Don’t expect the UN to say that though. They will ‘view with alarm’ anything they want.

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Dexter Alarius
Posted on January 30, 2013 at 10:56am
“Their predictions have largely failed, four times in a row… what that means is that it’s time for them to STFU!”

Fixed it for them.

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1WhoQuestions
Posted on January 30, 2013 at 10:10am
I beleive in climate change. It is always changing. Most often on a daily, if not weekly basis. Sometimes my climate allows me to be in shorts and t-shirts while other times it requires me to be more bundled up than a polar bear in three parkas.

It is funny how they blame global warming and global cooling on man, as if man has more influence than the sun. Then again, man wasn’t around 3 million years ago when the shoreline of the east coast was much father inland than what it is today.

It never is about the environment. It is always about more power and control.

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RamonPreston
Posted on January 30, 2013 at 9:56am
Does that mean Al Gore is going to refund all that money he stole from us with his “The sky is falling” scam?

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ColoradoMaverick
Posted on January 30, 2013 at 8:22am
If you want to see a website that does nothing but promote the global warming hoax, go to http://www.noaa.com. This is our taxpayer dollars hard at work to promote junk science at it’s worst. Complete and utter propaganda for the liberal left.

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marxalert
Posted on January 30, 2013 at 8:08am
If the leftists are so convinced that global warming is the biggest threat to mankind, why aren’t we authorizing drone strikes on factories in Beijing and Mexico City?

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marxalert
Posted on January 30, 2013 at 8:04am
It doesn’t take a genius to figure out that a rise in CO2 follows rather than leads a temp increase. What happens in your fridge after the power goes off — the temp rises and food spoils. Why? Because organisms grow that otherwise wouldn’t. And they breathe in O2 and eliminate CO2. If this happens globally, an increase in temp will CAUSE the increase in CO2.

That leaves the question of why the temp would increase. My vote goes to the amount of magma that seeps into the ocean floor — a variable and ongoing process that hasn’t even been considered by the global warming gurus.

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Wigan
Posted on January 30, 2013 at 7:29am
The really juicy part here is the “observed” data is probably constructed from the data set that originally showed temperature decline. AGW alarmists took that data set, fudged the numbers so they got a temperature rise, threw away the original data, and reported that as “observed”.

They also do their stupid line drawing tricks. Draw a line that fits data from 2000-2010 and you can convince yourself temperature is declining. Where you cut off the temperature data affects where this line is. They cut it off at 1990 for a reason.

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emberlyawake
Posted on January 30, 2013 at 4:10am
Other planets in our solar system are.warming up too, ya know. I don’t buy the global warming hype. Now there’s the talk of ‘carbon tax’. It’s just bullcrap. I agree that we should recycle.and be responsible, but in all things practice moderation. This carbon tax is really going to far. Everything is spinning out of control. The liberal agenda, while well meaning, is a bright utopic path to socialism. Our beautiful country which was so.strong and proud, and mostly UNITED is turning in to a nightmare where the lazy have their hand out and demand more…and the workers are worked into the ground and can’t help but show a little.resentment for those that take.take take. Who needs a foreign enemy to.take us down when they can play us against each other so efficiently? I really wrry for this country. I see changes made in fear which will affect us all, change who.we.are and possibly kill the spirit of Amca. I give it ten more years…tops.
Either revolution will come and stuff will change or tyranny will come and stuff will change. Either way, our America will never be as it once was.

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welovetheUSA
Posted on January 30, 2013 at 3:09am
Climate Change is simply a way to get tax dollars to fund crooks, period.

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denkat56
Posted on January 30, 2013 at 2:43am
Global warming is a joke, I just shoveled at least 15 inches of snow in the last 2 days. Global warming is about the rich people trying to get more money for nothing.

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OperationNorthwoods
Posted on January 30, 2013 at 2:24am
“The common enemy of humanity is man. In searching for a new enemy to unite us, we came up with the idea that pollution, the threat of global warming, water shortages, famine and the like would fit the bill. All these dangers are caused by human intervention, and it is only through changed attitudes and behavior that they can be overcome. The real enemy then, is humanity itself.” — Alexander King Co-Founder of the Club of Rome, (premier environmental think-tank and consultants to the United Nations) from his 1991 book The First Global Revolution

“We need to get some broad based support, to capture the public’s imagination… So we have to offer up scary scenarios, make simplified, dramatic statements and make little mention of any doubts… Each of us has to decide what the right balance is between being effective and being honest.” — Prof. Stephen Schneider, Stanford Professor of Biology and Global Change. Professor Schneider was among the earliest and most vocal proponents of man-made global warming and a lead author of many IPCC reports. He is a member of the Club of Rome.

“We’ve got to ride this global warming issue. Even if the theory of global warming is wrong, we will be doing the right thing in terms of economic and environmental policy.” –Timothy Wirth, President of the UN Foundation and member of the Club of Rome.

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VanGrungy
Posted on January 30, 2013 at 1:55am
wattsupwiththat (dot) com

if you don’t go to that site, you are not informed

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Tretka
Posted on January 30, 2013 at 1:41am
Ha…did we not always know that? The lies…about plastic bags and they took our good ole paper bags, then they forced us into bottle water because they have killed our tap water (at least in Arizona they have), they give us crap to stop the flu and it’s somehow never the right strain-what are you giving us?? And they protest for chickens and polar bears but demand we pay taxes for abortions.

And, I have been freezing my knees off in Arizona since Christmas and I have not seen one iota in years of magma seeping through my driveway or the city streets.

Al Gore is losing on his lispy leadership on “global warming” so he went out and sold an American cable network…to radical Islamists. So okay…can we stop all of this baloney, do the best we an with nature and solve the real problems here today. GEEZ.

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Chancellor
Posted on January 30, 2013 at 1:01am
Yea but they’ll keep on lying about it because it fits they’re agenda. Look how Hitler used it to control Germany before World War-2.

“Those who do not LEARN from History are destined to repeat it”

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pwatkins
Posted on January 30, 2013 at 12:28am
It seems to be like the left was more in sync with Osama Bin Laden than you may have thought or were these tapes just globalwarming and economic propaganda by the progressive commies?

.http://www.nytimes.com/2010/01/30/world/middleeast/30binladen.html

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Advection
Posted on January 29, 2013 at 11:56pm
Wait, I thought that Climate Change was one of the pillars of obama’s Second Reich, uh, I mean second term.

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TJexcite
Posted on January 29, 2013 at 11:23pm
Watching a show on the Universe and how small we really are. The Milky Way Galaxy, The background radiation of the big bang and the early stars. 13 billion light years distance, far as light travels to earth as we can not see anything past it. When they look at the same black spot they thought was empty but they see millions of galaxies. It really shows how small humans and the slice of existence really are. Every galaxy has billions of stars and there are the still have not counted all billions of galaxies they can see. Time is measured in eons and distance measured in the time it takes light to get there in million of years if not billions of years.

But a few extra ppm of CO2 molecules put out by insignificant humans can change the temperature in 200 years and there is nothing the earth and natural systems can do to stop it. There earth can survive volcanic eruptions, having the continents move to change its face, having asteroid impacts that cause the oceans to boil and world wide tilde waves, but the insignificant humans affect has more impact and it can never recover in any time scale.

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- Advection
  Posted on January 30, 2013 at 12:02am
  When volcanoes were mentioned in the global warming debate, it was always argued their impact was so tiny as to have been imperceptible. HOWEVER, I recently read that volcanoes are now a favorite culprit to blame for the fact that the earth hasn’t warmed as much as predicted. I bet someone was recently busy scrubbing away all previous mentions of volcanoes off websites.
  
  Never fear! Obama-Man is here! He can leap over Science in a single bound!
  
  “Lies, injustice, and the Communist way!”
  
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bonesiii
Posted on January 29, 2013 at 11:22pm
The whole assumption that lessening CO2 is “green” is fundamentally flawed, because plants need it to breathe. The more of it there is, the more plants thrive, thus recycling it faster so that nature balances it back out again. Warmers make it sound like it’s a closed system where adding CO2 permanently increases the amount globally and that leads inescapably to warming which then later kills plants, etc. But they’re forgetting basic biology.

If you really want to help plants, then logically more CO2 (within reason :P — too much is poisonous to us, but again, the more there is the faster it gets recycled) equals a better environment for plants, equals “more green”.

And those natural cycles, like the sun, as well as some unnatural ones, like pavement in cities making thermometers register higher temperatures than the actual global average, may entirely account for all observed warming (which itself is far lower than predicted…), making manmade global warming essentially irrelevant.

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- Chancellor
  Posted on January 30, 2013 at 1:04am
  You know your post just caused at least 20 tree huggers to commit ritual Suicide……
  
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