Could November’s Election Be a Tie?
- Posted on July 11, 2012 at 6:33am by
Mytheos Holt
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As if you needed another reason to campaign for members of Congress who correspond to your political preferences, speculation is mounting that Congress could end up deciding this year’s Presidential election. Why? Because it looks like neither President Obama nor GOP nominee Mitt Romney can close the deal entirely, even in what would be close to a best-case scenario for both candidates. RealClearPolitics explains:
Early this spring, as the new electoral map began to take shape, an intriguing scenario began circulating in political circles: the very real possibility that the 2012 presidential election could result in an Electoral College tie.
The most likely combination that would produce such a result requires Mitt Romney to carry all the states John McCain won in 2008, which after the redistricting process account for 180 electoral votes. Add to Romney’s column Indiana (11), Virginia (13), North Carolina (15), Florida (29), Ohio (18), and New Hampshire (4). That would yield 270 electoral votes for Romney to 268 for President Obama, the narrowest possible win for the challenger.
But then subtract from the Republican ticket the single electoral vote Obama won in Nebraska due to the anomalous way the Cornhusker State allocates its five electoral votes, and there would be a rare electoral tie that would send the election to the House of Representatives.
Reaers should note that this scenario, while intriguing, is highly unlikely. While nationwide polls show Romney and Obama tied at about 47 percent of the vote each, state level polls show Obama comfortably in the lead by more than 100 electoral votes. Nevertheless, in the event that the two men did tie, the election would be resolved not by the incumbent House of Representatives, but by whichever makeup of the House was elected this year. This means that, depending on what happens in any individual district, the election would conceivably be in the hands of John Boehner or Nancy Pelosi.
If that doesn’t frighten our readers into action, we don’t know what will.
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Comments (61)
Tigress1
Posted on July 11, 2012 at 10:18amThe House would decide the President, and the Senate would decide the Vice-President. How does a Romney/Obama ticket sound? If we think things are dysfunctional now, imagine THAT!
Report Post »G-WHIZ
Posted on July 11, 2012 at 12:51pmYeah…a tie+stripped-prizzon-suit for KING’O and all his accomplices!
Report Post »Deborah
Posted on July 12, 2012 at 8:03amIt will be the year 2000 all over again. And the Roberts court will say “it’s a tax.”
Report Post »PATTY HENRY
Posted on July 12, 2012 at 1:31pmIt’s going to be a MONDALE thrubbbing. A landslide against that Marxist, Communist, Anti-American, Traitor, Muslim, phony. Watch.
Report Post »jespasinthru
Posted on July 11, 2012 at 9:59amAmong my own friends and acquaintances I‘ve noticed that it’s no longer “cool” to be an Obama supporter if you’re black. The freethinking blacks look down on them, call them “brainwashed plantation slaves”, “personality cult zombies”, and kool-ade drinkers”. A lot of black people who fervently supported Obama had jobs three years ago and are now among the long-term unemployed. They’re feeling bitter and betrayed, like they’ve been used. Especially now that Obama has signed an executive order giving millions of illegal immigrants the right to compete for the already scarce jobs. I think a lot of those voters who treated Obama like a messiah are going to sit this one out.
Report Post »Individualism
Posted on July 11, 2012 at 9:54amObama will probably win by a landslide because Romney will appear to be the war monger that wants to cut services to fund more war and grow the military.
Report Post »bigdaddyt46
Posted on July 11, 2012 at 10:13amlet’s see how smart you are decipher this sentence.
go and fornicate thyself
Report Post »skiz
Posted on July 11, 2012 at 10:13amNice try.
Report Post »soybomb315
Posted on July 11, 2012 at 5:57pmNo, Romney says he will not cut any government programs or spending.
More accurately, he wants to expand the military budget by increasing the deficit. What a winner
Report Post »Daveed
Posted on July 11, 2012 at 9:46amWhy are the nations so angry? Why do they waste their time with futile plans?2 The kings of the earth prepare for battle;the rulers plot together against the LORD and against his anointed one.3 “Let us break their chains,” they cry, “and free ourselves from slavery to God.”
Report Post »4 But the one who rules in heaven laughs. The Lord scoffs at them. 5 Then in anger he rebukes them, terrifying them with his fierce fury.6 For the Lord declares, “I have placed my chosen king on the throne in Jerusalem, [6] on my holy mountain.” 7 The king proclaims the LORD’s decree: “The LORD said to me, `You are my son. [7] Today I have become your Father. [7] 8 Only ask, and I will give you the nations as your inheritance, the whole earth as your possession. 9 You will break [9] them with an iron rod and smash them like clay pots.’” 10 Now then, you kings, act wisely! Be warned, you rulers of the earth! 11 Serve the LORD with reverent fear, and rejoice with trembling.
12 Submit to God’s royal son, [12] or he will become angry, and you will be destroyed in the midst of all your activities—for his anger flares up in an instant. But what joy for all who take refuge in him!
Sara72
Posted on July 11, 2012 at 9:24amas much as I hate to admit this… I am starting to wonder if Romeny is really trying to win this election at all… I dont understand his milk toast attitude . I hope I am wrong and that he will come out swinging soon. I do understand that the more Obama Opens his mouth and spews nasty UNTRUE rhetoric , he is showing himself to be less and less Presidential, but many people dont even check his words for being accurate.
Report Post »Tigress1
Posted on July 11, 2012 at 10:20amRomney has been swinging. The media just isn’t reporting it.
Report Post »soybomb315
Posted on July 11, 2012 at 5:58pmIf Romney has been swinging – then we better start packing
Report Post »sb36695
Posted on July 11, 2012 at 9:08amIt may be time for the country to split.
Report Post »Gonzo
Posted on July 11, 2012 at 9:03amDon’t worry, Justice Roberts will settle a tie for us.
Report Post »Delta D-5-3
Posted on July 11, 2012 at 9:12amYep, i’m sure the left is hoping for just that scenario…………
Report Post »sndrman
Posted on July 11, 2012 at 9:55amlisten this is source of constant contention for me, I thought roberts would side with common sense,not just with us all the times maybe 80-85% would be nice but let’s face it when liberal presidents send justices those justices are liberal,socialists and the republicans bend over backwards to help the liberal president,ask any ginsberg(klinton),sotomeyer,——-(obama) before allito(bush) was appointed gonzales(bush) was denied,meyers(bush)was denied……..why do liberal presidents get what they want and never wavier from liberal actions,but somehow republican appointed must be moderate, vote with liberals etc.etc….makes me sick to my stomach but liberals get what they want……..
Report Post »obrien871
Posted on July 11, 2012 at 8:47amThese polls are hilarious, always use more democrats than republicans and then say Obama is winning.
Barry is going to lose in a 40 state landslide. There’s a simmering-seething anger at what he’s done and is doing to us. Shoving legislation down our throats no one wants, blocking oil drilling, attacking coal fired electric plants sending rates through the roof, cranking out tens of thousands of pages of red tape snarling business and killing job growth. We the people are pssd and it’s going to show Nov 6th.
Ashamed to say last election 56% of Catholics voted for the Marxist baby killer. Beyond my comprehension how this could happen only thing can figure is that the NE churches voted for him in droves because I live in the Midwest and he’s despised by all the Catholics I know. That being said the church is mobilized and fighting back after being attacked by this administration. They’ve read messages from the bishops and even played a DVD regarding the assault on religious liberty perpetrated by the Dictator in Chief. When it was finished the entire church spontaneously stood and gave the message a standing ovation.
Barrack Hussein Obama and democrats are going to be stunned on Nov 6th it’s not even going to be close and republicans will get a super majority in the senate for the first time in history.
EVERYONE GET REGISTERED, GET EVERYONE YOU KNOW REGISTERED, AND VOTE!
Report Post »alpha2omega47
Posted on July 11, 2012 at 8:45amNovember’s election will simply mean a vote for good or evil. If Romney wins ~ it will mean that people still have some spine and common sense and can see that Obama is destroying America. If Obama wins ~ it will mean that people are ignorant, lazy and gullible. It will increase the likelihood that Obama has blinded, ignorant, mindless voter support because he is the Antichrist and we are in the end times. If Obama wins it will be good because Armageddon and the prophecies of Revelations will prevail and we will witness the second coming of Jesus Christ, so if Obama wins ~ it is meant to be; because the world has become terminally corrupt with evil and we are due for a biblical cleansing.
Report Post »soybomb315
Posted on July 11, 2012 at 5:59pmEither way, the public is stupid. I would argue the republican voters are completely lost, as they nominated the most progressive of the 9 republican candidates
Report Post »BOstinks
Posted on July 11, 2012 at 8:38amMany old sayings have basis in fact. “The less a person does, the less they want to do” comes to mind. Obama and his policies have forced a large number of folks from their jobs and onto the public dole. There‘s a good chance many of these folks will be ’too busy’ to bother to vote for him. Here’s hoping!
Report Post »Snowleopard {gallery of cat folks}
Posted on July 11, 2012 at 8:31amThis is what I have warned of for years now; if it comes down to a tie, then the chance of Obama being reelected increases. And if Pelosi is in office and leading the House; our nation is ended.
Report Post »mikenleeds
Posted on July 11, 2012 at 8:10amRomney by a landslide unless you want obamacare and to live in the new Mexico where we all starve together
Report Post »poorrichard09
Posted on July 11, 2012 at 8:29amHow to resolve a tie? Oh, I don’t know-a civil war maybe?
Report Post »Remember how nasty the 2000 election was? Now with a half black prez all the black radicals and militant latinos would come out of the woodwork. Couple that with an economic collapse and your have-chaos.
Halgar
Posted on July 11, 2012 at 8:29amThe days of Republican landslides are over and they won’t be seen anytime in the near future.
Its sad, you can go back and look at the Reagan elections to see a real landslide but even if Obama launched nukes against Arizona or Texas, he would still not lose California, New York, Massachusetts, etc.
Those states are lost, perhaps forever… I think they are which is why in the end “America” only survives is we split up.
Report Post »Landon410
Posted on July 11, 2012 at 8:34amhow are we going to know that the vote count isn’t messed it? who is keeping eyes on this?
Report Post »Individualism
Posted on July 11, 2012 at 9:53amhe created it and obama copied it.
Report Post »Lesbian Packing Hollow Points
Posted on July 11, 2012 at 8:07amAt this stage in the Carter-Reagan race, they were tied as well, and Reagan won in the largest landslide in modern memory. I don’t give any credence to the claims of a close race, not with Obama running very hard to alienate as many sectors of the electorate as possible, as fast as possible.
Report Post »wboehmer
Posted on July 11, 2012 at 8:12amThe interesting thing is that the landslide will not be for Romney, it will be against Worst-President-Ever Øbama.
Doesn’t matter . . . get rid of Øbama first, worry about everything else later.
Report Post »countryfirst
Posted on July 11, 2012 at 8:06amIt is not even close, poll numbers are being falsified to keep it interesting, Romney will win 55% to 45%. At least I still hope that Americans will not give up there liberties for the promise of free cookies.
Report Post »TheFederalist
Posted on July 11, 2012 at 7:59amRegardless of what the polls say, it is just unbelievable that Obama could even be close or ahead of Romney. People must be really stupid if they think Obama is leading this country in the right direction and that his policies benefit Americans. No, those people are beyond stupid.
Report Post »DoomsdayProphet
Posted on July 11, 2012 at 7:58amReaers should note that this scenario, while intriguing,…spellcheck
Report Post »Delta D-5-3
Posted on July 11, 2012 at 7:53amHmmm, could the election whined up a tie is the question. Well, that would mean about 50% of this country is willing to vote in a Socialist/Marxist/Radical back into office. The dumming down of America looks to be complete. Beck always talks about hope. Well, if BHO gets re-elected you can forget about hope as we’ll have nothing but dispair………
Report Post »Oldphoto678
Posted on July 11, 2012 at 7:36amThe founders of this country would have the tea party locked up.
Report Post »BenInNY
Posted on July 11, 2012 at 8:05amlol – any quotes to back that one up?
Report Post »Delta D-5-3
Posted on July 11, 2012 at 8:23amThe Tea Party is so afraid of being called “racist” that most people who associated themselves with it no longer do. You have to give the far left credit here. They did what they set out to do. And that’s to make the “Tea Party” irreverent. I mean really, where are all the “massive” Tea Party gatherings one would think would be happening now?? It pains me to say this, but with only a few months to the election and the polls showing a dead heat, BHO may well be re-elected.
Report Post »4xeverything
Posted on July 11, 2012 at 9:18amHere in greater Cincinnati area there are Tea Party rallies almost weekly. The reason you don‘t hear about them is because the lame stream media lost the ’racist‘ attack so now they try to pretend that they don’t exsist.
Report Post »REPUB1
Posted on July 11, 2012 at 7:33amgood insight most posters here, But if it does look like obummer is going to lose, there WILL Be Hell Taking to the Streets. his Storm Troopers will start chaos everywhere so he can Declare Martial Law, and Keep the Vote From Happening.. God Is With U.S.
Report Post »kat747
Posted on July 11, 2012 at 10:31amIf Barry has one good brain cell in his head, chaos and martial law will never happen.
Report Post »No one wants to “go there” !
BenInNY
Posted on July 11, 2012 at 7:14amWhy is no one mentioning the stilted sample in this poll?
Democrat 33
Republican 24
Independent 36
Other 4
Dont know 3
It’s upside down at best.
Report Post »Noonien_Soong
Posted on July 11, 2012 at 6:55amSince there is just 4.5 months away from the election there will be some minor or major fluctuations going on.Until there is a major realization opinions will vary. Mid-October will reveal the leader and it may surprise quite a few people that Romney could may very well win with a substantial margin, about 8.5 which is near a landslide. I wouldn’t be too surprised that Obama will lose big time as the few will see the disenchantment.
Report Post »Thatsitivehadenough
Posted on July 11, 2012 at 7:08amI think all the polls have been hacked into and perverted to dishearten Americans.
Report Post »historyguy48
Posted on July 11, 2012 at 6:52amComrade first there must be an election. Communists don’t like those much.
Report Post »Second the dead must have voted incorrectly so I’m certain that the Democrat Communists will find semi-trucks full of votes, lost by accident.
But never fear, the American sheep will all stay in their pens, no matter what happens.
Cavallo
Posted on July 11, 2012 at 7:30amDon’t forget the illegals voting. Eric Holder will try his damnedest to ensure that illegal invaders get to vote and to disqualify any military votes.
Report Post »JACKTHETOAD
Posted on July 11, 2012 at 6:47amIf it’s a tie, we just ought to have a tie party.
Report Post »loriann12
Posted on July 11, 2012 at 6:47amThe Fix is in.
Report Post »4xeverything
Posted on July 11, 2012 at 6:42amGod help us all!
Report Post »