Politics

Romney Holding on to Strong Lead in Nevada

Nevada Republican Caucuses: Romney Holding on to Strong Lead

(AP) Republican presidential front-runner Mitt Romney jumped to a strong lead in the Nevada caucuses Saturday night, reaching for a second straight campaign victory over a field of rivals suddenly struggling to keep pace.

Returns from nine of 17 counties – generally areas that are lightly populated – showed the former Massachusetts governor gaining 38 percent of the vote in a state where fellow Mormons turned out in heavy numbers.

Texas Rep. Ron Paul was running second with 28 percent. Former House Speaker Newt Gingrich was pulling 23 percent and former Pennsylvania Sen. Rick Santorum had 13 percent.

A victory for Romney would cap a week that began with a double-digit win in the Florida primary. That contest was as intense as Nevada’s caucuses were sedate – so quiet that they produced little television advertising, no candidate debates and only a modest investment of time by the contenders.

A total of 28 Republican National Convention delegates were at stake in caucuses held across a sprawling state that drew little attention in the nominating campaign but figures to be a fierce battleground in the fall between the winner of the GOP nomination and President Barack Obama. The state’s unemployment rate was measured at 12.6 percent in December, the worst in the country.

According to the AP count, Romney began the day with 87 of the 1,144 delegates needed to win the Republican nomination. Gingrich had 26, Santorum 14 and Paul 4.

Preliminary results of a poll of Nevada Republicans entering their caucuses showed that nearly half said the most important consideration in their decision was a candidate’s ability to defeat Obama this fall, a finding in line with other states.

About one-quarter of those surveyed said they are Mormon, roughly the same as in 2008, when Romney won with more than a majority of the vote in a multi-candidate field.

The entrance poll was conducted by Edison Research for the Associated Press at 25 randomly selected caucus sites. It included 1,553 interviews and had a margin of sampling error of plus or minus 4 percentage points.

The caucus rules were a demonstration of democracy and a reflection of religious diversity.

Nevada awarded its delegates in proportion to the caucus vote totals, meaning that any candidate who captured at least 3.57 percent of the total number of ballots cast would be rewarded. By contrast, Romney’s victory in the Florida primary on Tuesday netted him all 50 of the delegates at stake there.

While most caucuses were held during the day, an exception was Clark County, the state’s largest. There, party officials arranged to hold one meeting well after sundown at the request of orthodox Jews who observe bans on driving, writing or other work-a-day activities during the Sabbath.

Romney‘s victory in the state’s 2008 caucuses, coupled with the heavy presence of voters who share his Mormon faith, turned Nevada into something of a way-station on the campaign calendar.

There are just over 175,000 Mormons in the state, roughly 7 percent of the population. But they accounted for nearly a quarter of all 2008 Nevada GOP caucus-goers.

Gingrich said he’d be happy to finish second, behind Romney and ahead of Paul. Paul, a Texas lawmaker, was one of two candidates to air television ads in the state, hoping for a close second-place finish if not an upset.

Romney was the other, joined by Restore Our Future, the ubiquitous organization that supports him and has been heavily involved in earlier states.

Santorum campaigned relatively little in Nevada, although he picked up the support of Sharron Angle, a tea party favorite who won the GOP Senate nomination in a 2010 upset and then lost her race to Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid.

From Nevada, the calendar turns to caucuses in Minnesota and Colorado and a non-binding primary in Missouri on Tuesday.

Maine caucuses end next Saturday, and the next seriously contested states are expected to be primaries in Michigan and Arizona on Feb. 28.

Nevada caucuses, coming four days after the Florida primary, meant little time for the type of intense campaign that characterized the first month of the race.

The most memorable event of the four-day Nevada campaign was an endorsement that flamboyant billionaire Donald Trump bestowed on Romney in Las Vegas in a circus-like atmosphere that followed reports he would back Gingrich. The campaign event was brief, and Paul mocked The Donald and his decision. “I don’t think he has that much credibility. I don’t understand why we pay attention to him,” he said.

By the time Nevada Republicans caucused, Paul was campaigning in Minnesota, Santorum in Colorado.

“The one thing that is on our side is the American people are waking up,” Paul said in a speech in Rochester, Minn., that was frequently interrupted by applause. The Texan has yet to win a primary or caucus state.

Santorum, who eked out a victory in Iowa a month ago, has faded since. He said he has raised $1 million online in recent days to help him in the upcoming states.

Gingrich combined campaigning and fundraising in his time in Nevada, in hopes of righting a campaign that was victorious in the South Carolina primary on Jan. 21, only to crater 10 days later in Florida.

Eager to demonstrate he intends to fight on, he announced plans to campaign next week in Ohio, one of several states with a Super Tuesday primary on March 6.

His Florida victory in hand, Romney was acting like a front-runner again, campaigning against Obama more than Gingrich. Restore Our Future took care of the former speaker, airing ads that said he consistently overstated his connections to Ronald Reagan

 

Comments (15)

  • soybomb315
    Posted on February 4, 2012 at 10:58pm

    Just watched romney’s acceptance speech – lots of platitudes but no specifics. I find it funny that he is the only candidate who always has to say that he’ll repeal obamacare. The other candidates dont even have to say it.

    Report Post » soybomb315  
  • soybomb315
    Posted on February 4, 2012 at 10:11pm

    The entrance polling asked this question: “Who is the most conservative candidate”… The winner – Ron Paul

    Report Post » soybomb315  
  • MacPharlan
    Posted on February 4, 2012 at 10:04pm

    I hope Paul takes second, then Newt can’t tell others to get out!

    Report Post »  
  • Babeuf
    Posted on February 4, 2012 at 9:55pm

    The big story was the revelation in The NY Times that the Romney campaign, both directly and through Jewish emissaries, has been trying to convince Sheldon Adelson to cut off further funding of a pro-Newt SuperPAC:
    You have got to be kidding me. It’s not enough for Romney to outspend Newt several times over, he has to try to cut off Newt’s funding? And if true that he’s personally hurt, then that’s pretty rich considering the vicious personal demonization of Newt by Romney and his surrogates since Iowa.
    Romney and his cohorts will stop at nothing to get elected. His behavior seems more like that of a third world leader than that of someone wanting to be the US President. The crying that he or his wife has hurt feelings is ridiculous, if he can dish it out he better be able to take it. I don’t think any of Obama’s donors will stop giving because the Obama and his super pacs might hurt the Romney’s feelings.
    He’s a caricature of a candidate, a classic dirty politician, smooth and pretty on the outside, inside is dishonest and ruthless…a dirty dealer.
    I’m realizing more each day just how much Romney has in common with Obama. Soros is right. There really is not that much difference.
    Paul Weyrich Warns Conservatives on Romney
    http://www.politijim.com/2012/01/paul-weyrich-warns-conservatives-on.html

    Report Post » Babeuf  
  • soybomb315
    Posted on February 4, 2012 at 9:53pm

    Ron Paul has significantly increased his votes from 2008…In every single state! How does that work – he hasnt changed on a single issue. Good news, the american people are moving back to constitution and liberty.

    Report Post » soybomb315  
  • ChasVoice
    Posted on February 4, 2012 at 9:52pm

    Hey Mitt – tell us about your banking/tax program!!

    Mitt Romney and his offshore bank accounts
    http://chasvoice.blogspot.com/2012/01/mitt-romney-and-his-offshore-bank.html

    Report Post »  
  • 3monkeysmomma
    Posted on February 4, 2012 at 9:47pm

    Right this minute, Ron Paul is second.

    YAY!!!!!!!!!

    Report Post » 3monkeysmomma  
    • KAdams
      Posted on February 5, 2012 at 3:06am

      I think they’re cooking the numbers… Gingrich had a huge jump with only 11% reporting…

      Report Post »  
  • DD313
    Posted on February 4, 2012 at 9:46pm

    Isn’t NV proportional? Mitt will not gain that many votes in that case.

    Report Post » DD313  

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