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Poll: 5 Senate Democrats are in big trouble

A new 2018 midterm poll shows that if elections were held today, five Senate Democrats would lose to Republican challengers in states that President Donald Trump won in 2016.

These poll results come amid media and Democrat prophecies of a "blue wave" in 2018 that will capitalize on Democratic voter enthusiasm to flip control of Congress. This new poll from Axios should cast doubt on that narrative, at least for the U.S. Senate.

In the states were Democratic incumbents are most vulnerable, President Trump's approval rating is above 50 percent.

This poll is good news for the slim Senate Republican majority, which fell to 51-49 after Doug Jones, D-Ala., won an upset victory in an Alabama special election. However, the poll comes with a caveat. We are still months away from the general election in November, and several races are still taking shape. Tuesday's Texas primary demonstrated that there is a wave of Democrat voter enthusiasm that could lead to Republicans in purple states being tossed out of office. While the 2018 Senate election map favors Republicans, with 10 Democrats on defense in states President Trump won, Democrats need 33 seats in the House of Representatives to make Nancy Pelosi speaker again.

If Republicans punt on the issues in 2018, passing amnesty, gun control, and another $1.3 trillion omnibus spending bill, GOP voters will have no reason to turn out on election day. The fate of the Republican majority is in the hands of Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell, R-Ky., and Speaker Paul Ryan, R-Wisc.

Will they advance a winning conservative agenda in Congress? Or will they stop trying because they don't have 60 votes in the Senate and don't feel the need to make these vulnerable Democrats take tough votes?

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