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Poll: Trump beats Kamala Harris head-to-head but should worry about Joe Biden

Conservative Review

In a new 2020 general election survey by Optimus Consulting, President Donald Trump narrowly leads Sen. Kamala Harris, D-Calif., the 2020 candidate who wants to eliminate private health insurance in America.

The poll of likely voters finds Trump beats Harris in a head-to-head matchup by one point, 45 percent for Trump and 44 percent for Harris, with 12 percent undecided. The caveat here: Polls this early won't tell us much about where things will stand in a year and a half, when the presidential election kicks into high gear. What it does tell us is that even with President Trump's favorability under water, 42 percent favorable to 51 percent unfavorable, the Democrats need to run a sane candidate to beat him soundly.

The same poll found that in a head-to-head matchup between Trump and former Vice President Joe Biden, Biden beats Trump 50 percent to 43 percent, with only 7 percent undecided. A leftist extremist like Harris will make it a close election. But someone who is not an out-of-the-closet socialist like Biden should make Trump very worried.

Lastly, if former Starbucks CEO Howard Schultz runs for president as an independent, it looks like he'll hurt the Democrats. Here is a series of three-way matchups between Trump, Schultz, and different Democratic candidates:

  • Joe Biden 45%, Donald Trump 41%, Howard Schultz 6%, undecided 8%

  • Donald Trump 42%, Kamala Harris 38%, Howard Schultz 7%, undecided 13%

  • Donald Trump 42%, Elizabeth Warren 39%, Howard Schultz 8%, undecided 11%

  • Donald Trump 42%, Beto O’Rourke 33%, Howard Schultz 9%, undecided 16%

Again, as with all polling, this is not a prediction of election results, and it is not a definitive statement on who is "winning" the 2020 presidential campaign. This is a snapshot of where things stand in February 2019, with at least a year before voters really start paying attention. What that snapshot tells us is that Democrats need to run a moderate candidate to have a good chance to beat Trump, because a far-Left candidate will make it a closer race and invite a third-party spoiler.

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