© 2024 Blaze Media LLC. All rights reserved.
Professor who correctly predicted 5 of past 6 presidential elections makes forecast for Trump 2020
Photo by Scott Olson/Getty Images

Professor who correctly predicted 5 of past 6 presidential elections makes forecast for Trump 2020

Norpoth's prediction model has an impressive track record

Stony Brook political science professor, Helmut Norpoth, has predicted successfully the outcomes of five of the past six presidential elections since 1996, and he's now predicting that President Donald Trump has a 91% chance of winning the election in November.

Norpoth's proven model, called the "Primary Model," uses data from early primary election results, rather than opinion polls, to predict base excitement. He told Mediaite last week that his model would have accurately predicted the outcome of all but two presidential elections since 1912.

"The Primary Model gives Trump a 91 percent chance of winning in November," Norpoth said. "This model gets it right for 25 of the 27 elections since 1912, when primaries were introduced."

On the "Glenn Beck Radio Program," Glenn and producer Stu Burguiere discussed the plausibility of Norpoth's predictions.

Watch the video below:


Want more from Glenn Beck?

To enjoy more of Glenn's masterful storytelling, thought-provoking analysis and uncanny ability to make sense of the chaos, subscribe to BlazeTV — the largest multi-platform network of voices who love America, defend the Constitution and live the American dream.

Want to leave a tip?

We answer to you. Help keep our content free of advertisers and big tech censorship by leaving a tip today.
Want to join the conversation?
Already a subscriber?
BlazeTV Staff

BlazeTV Staff

News, opinion, and entertainment for people who love the American way of life.
@BlazeTV →