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White House Hesitation to Take on Assad Regime Demonstrates Lack of Leadership and Strategic Awareness

Dr. Michael Ledeen is the Freedom Scholar at the Foundation for Defense of Democracies, and an internationally renowned scholar, whose ideas and insights on  […]
Dr. Michael Ledeen is the Freedom Scholar at the Foundation for Defense of Democracies, and an internationally renowned scholar, whose ideas and insights on the workings of the Iranian government have been a critical part of the policy discussion for decades. He is a highly regarded expert on Iran’s Green Movement and maintains close ties to opposition groups inside Iran. His scholarship on terrorism and international security and strategy have been sought after by those in and out of government and the intelligence community, the media, scholars and policy makers.
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Ledeen: White House Hesitation to Take on Assad Regime Demonstrates Lack of Leadership and Strategic Awareness

Syrian President Bashar al-Assad and Iranian President Mahmoud AhmadinejadΒ Β (Photo: AFP)

When General Dempsey and Secretary Panetta testified last week that President Obama had opposed plans for American support to the Syrian opposition, my heart sank. The president’s decision demonstrates not only insensitivity to the mass slaughter of Syrian dissidents and citizens but also a singular lack of serious strategic thinking.

Iran and Syria have been bound together in a tight strategic embrace for many years. The two worked closely to wage the terror war against us and our allies in Iraq, training and arming suicide terrorists (most of whom came across the Syrian border), and providing an operational base for Hezbollah (in Syria) and the Quds Force (in Iran).

SoΒ no oneΒ should have been surprised when Iran raced to aid Bashar al-Assad when the insurrection broke out two years ago. But the extent of Iranian support, which is expanding even now, is quite remarkable.

The mullahs gave AssadΒ the full benefit of their expertise, sending their most ruthless killers to Damascus, and teaching him the methods they had used against Iranians in 2009-2010, from the use of snipers to the creation of a fanatical internal security force (the Basij), to mastery of internet and cell phone communications in order to track down internal enemies, to mass torture and mass executions.

The Iranians no doubt figured that, since these methods worked so well in Iran, they would surely work just as well in Syria. But it didn’t work out that way. The slaughter has been terrible, probably well over one hundred thousand to date. Yet the anti-Assad Syrian fighters, contrary not only to the Iranians’ expectations, but to those of most experts, have refused to surrender no matter how high the cost in suffering and death.

Moreover, despite the shameful absence of the United States, the Syrian opposition has received outside support. The Sunni tycoons, notably the Saudis and the Qataris, have provided cash cannon-fodder (prisoners in Saudi Arabia have reportedly been granted early release, and money for their families, if they go to Syria to fight) and weapons.

This is all very grim news for the Iranian regime, which has paid up every time the ante has been raised. Over and over again, Iranian Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei has pledged–and delivered–total support. Limitless funding, the most ruthless killers, all manner of weaponry and advanced technology, were all provided. A few days ago Khamenei confirmed his strategic commitment, and ordered five battalions of fighters (three from Hezbollah, two from the Revolutionary Guards’ Quds Force) to deploy. Some of them are already murdering Assad’s opponents.

Why is Khamenei so desperate to save Assad?Β Β The short answer is: if Assad falls, Khamenei fears that his own regime may follow it into history’s ash heap.

At the same meeting in which Khamenei ordered more killers to support Assad, he told his top aides that Hezbollah could probably not last more than a month if the opposition won in Syria. Given the terrorist organization’s major role in the slaughter, the Syrian people would not tolerate its continued presence in their country, and the Lebanese would probably behave similarly. There was a time when many Lebanese, Sunni as well as Shi’a, admired Hezbollah, because it provided social services to the poor and declared itself, with considerable justification, the most proven fighting force against Israel. No longer. While a hard core of Shi’ite supporters remain loyal, today the Hezbollahis are widely viewed as killers of Sunni Arabs.

Hezbollah is Iran’s foreign legion. It was the spinal column of the terror war that Iran and Syria waged against us and our allies in Iraq. It has performed such sensitive missions as training Al Qaeda, organizing the bloody bombing of the Israeli Embassy and Jewish center in Buenos Aires, and infiltrating hundreds, if not thousands of agents and operatives into our hemisphere via Caracas. Iran’s ability to wage proxy war against us would be crippled if Hezbollah were to be destroyed. Moreover, ever since the regime’s bloody crackdown on the Iranian opposition, the people have been watching carefully for signs of weakness around the supreme leader. The fall of Assad, and the distraction of Hezbollah, would be to very green lights to the internal opposition in Iran itself.

Bottom Line:Β Β the Syrian battlefield is a crucial one in the global war that is being waged against us and our friends and allies.Β Β The defeat of Assad and his Iranian allies (and the Russians, too, lest we forget), would have enormous consequences, most of which would be good news to the United States. If you could perform one miracle in this grim world, you couldn’t do better than wave a wand and bring down Assad and Khamenei.

No doubt Panetta, Hillary, and Petraeus had such thoughts when they urged the president to support the Syrian opposition.Β Β No doubt their hearts sank when Obama said “no way.”Β Β It certainly enraged the Saudis, as you can see in an op-ed in an official publication.Β It should enrage all Americans who take national security seriously.

Comments (3)

  • EnemiesWithinWillNOTPrevail
    Posted on February 12, 2013 at 11:49pm

    I don’t buy the ‘lack of leadership’ theory. I know the truth. The enemies within are methodically destroying America daily. They are being allowed to TREAD ON “WE THE PEOPLE” and destroying America without consequences. I’d like to know how and why they are getting away with treasonous crimes against us? We know the left are morons and incapable of comprehending truth. It’s hard to believe millions are still sleeping! Unbelievable and unforgiveable. God Bless America.

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    EnemiesWithinWillNOTPrevail  
  • Seneca12
    Posted on February 12, 2013 at 3:57pm

    For starters, I’m not impressed by someone who works for the defense of democracies. As our Founders noted, a democracy is simply the tyranny of the mob. We are a constitutional republic, and should defend those types of government, not democracies, such as what the MB in Egypt has set up.

    Second, the author fails to make a case why the US should get involved in Syria, other than to note that it might lead to the downfall of He’zbollah and the Iranian regime. But he doesn’t say what would replace the current regime in Syria – who is the opposition? Will we find out that it is the MB, or allies thereof? How is a Sunni backed regime going to be any better? We fought the Sunni regime in Iraq and brought about their downfall – do you really think they are going to be our “friends”? As far as that goes, can you say that ANY moslem regime is our friend? Does it really matter who rules in Syria, in respect to our national security? The Moslems all hate us, it’s just that they differ on how to bring down Western Civilization.

    In my humble opinion, it is best to stand back and not interfere when your enemies are killing each other. And just as a broken clock is right twice a day, so Barry Soetoro is right to not get involved in Syria, for whatever reasons of his own.

    I thank The Blaze for presenting articles by neo-cons like Dr. Ledeen, exposing their thought processes to the light of day for a full and vigorous debate.

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    Seneca12  
  • Ghandi was a Republican
    Posted on February 12, 2013 at 2:57pm

    Obama’s just waiting for a better deal like he did with Khadaffi (who was lauded as a heroic figure just 2 years before when he chastised America at the U.N.). A too soon crescendo in the violence could waste a good crisis opportunity.
    Once he destabilizes us further, the festivities will resume and he will have to fly a couple 10,000 political dissidents (aka jihadist militants) over to the U.S. for “political asylum”.. That’s how obama operates. You can bet the farm. Out in the open calling it “a conspiracy theory” and islamiphobic.

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    Ghandi was a Republican  

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