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To have an average number of hurricanes during hurricane season is now deemed a cataclysmic consequence of the myth of man-made global warming climate change. In the latest display of our fact-free political discourse, the fact that we have had fewer hurricanes over the past half-century now equals more hurricanes and is the result of your favorite SUV. Verifiable data points simply don’t matter any more, but that should not stop us from publicizing them to debunk the new religion of ScienceTM.
After the media failed to find a way to criticize Governor DeSantis’ highly competent response to Hurricane Ian, they sought to blame conservatives in general for the existence of hurricanes. From day one, they sought to groom an entire generation of youngsters into believing that the landfall of a major hurricane in the tropics during hurricane season was somehow abnormal and portended an ominous trend that will kill us, unless of course we pay the ransom to Agenda 2030. This culminated with Biden’s press conference in Lee County, Florida, on Wednesday, where he said, "The one thing that has finally ended is the discussion about whether or not there is climate change."
Well, he is right that the weather is always changing. However, now they would have you believe that the first devastating hurricane in Florida really since Andrew in 1992 somehow portends a trend, when in fact no such trend exists, much less proof that humans cause hurricanes. Unlike other theories about anthropogenic global warming that rely on complicated and unverifiable theories, there are a finite number of hurricanes each year, and it’s quite easy to count their total numbers, the number that hit the U.S., and their intensity.
Even the global-warming-crazed NOAA put out a statement noting the obvious: “After adjusting for a likely under-count of hurricanes in the pre-satellite era,” wrote NOAA in a special statement last week on global warming and hurricanes, “there is essentially no long-term trend in hurricane counts. The evidence for an upward trend is even weaker if we look at U.S. landfalling hurricanes, which even show a slight negative trend beginning from 1900 or from the late 1800s.” In fact, the agency goes on to predict a 25% decrease in the overall number of Atlantic hurricanes and tropical storms based on its ever-trusty computer models, which undoubtedly, will then lead to the world blaming “climate change” for the lack of hurricanes.
Well, there are certainly more hurricanes making landfall, right? I mean, we hear about them in the news. Not at all. Despite the fact that south Florida is precariously sticking down into hurricane alley, Ian was only the sixth major hurricane to hit south Florida since 1965. As meteorologist Joe Bastardi observes, there were 16 hits south of Tampa/Cape Canaveral during the previous 50 years.
\u201cSince 1965 this will be the sixth major hurricane to hit the Florida peninsula south of a Cape Canaveral to Tampa line The 50 years previous to 1965 there were 16\u201d— Joe Bastardi (@Joe Bastardi) 1664320035
Indeed, as our hearts go out to the residents of southwest Florida, Floridians have actually largely escaped danger over the past few decades, especially in the southeast part of the state, which has essentially not had a major catastrophic blow since 1992.
In 2020, Forbes published data from the past 50 years of global landfalls of tropical cyclones of hurricane strength, based on the Saffir-Simpson hurricane scale use by the U.S. National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration. As anyone who looks at the chart can see plainly, “There are a lot of ups and downs in the data, but no obvious trends.”
Well, what about the intensity? All that human global warming must be juicing up the rapid intensification of these storms, right? Wrong again! Meteorologist student Chris Martz put together data from 1980 showing there is absolutely no trend other than the trend of news coverage.
\u201cLet's set the record straight:\n\n\u2022 Global hurricane occurrence has \u2b07\ufe0f slightly since 1980. NO trend in landfalls (Weinkle et al. 2012, updated)\n\n\u2022 NO trend in global ACE since 1980.\n\n\u2022 NO significant \u2b06\ufe0f 30-kt rapid intensification events (Klotzbach et al., 2021, SI attachment).\u201d— Chris Martz (@Chris Martz) 1664643743
Martz also gathered the list of all 15 Cat 4/5 hurricanes that have hit Florida, quite a verifiable data point. Spot the trend?
\u201cAs a simple fact-check, I accessed the NOAA HURDAT database and tabulated all 15 hurricanes to landfall in Florida as a C4 or 5. In the sample, 10 occurred at or before 1960, five of which made landfall between 1945 and 1950. Those saying it's the \u201cnew norm\u201d are full of crap.\u201d— Chris Martz (@Chris Martz) 1664424808
And overall, hurricanes are actually hitting the U.S. coasts less frequently in recent decades.
\u201cSince 1851, there has been no significant trend in the number of U.S. landfalling major hurricanes by decade. But, what I guarantee you didn't know is that since the 1930s and 1940s, major landfalls have \ud835\uddf1\ud835\uddf2\ud835\uddf0\ud835\uddff\ud835\uddf2\ud835\uddee\ud835\ude00\ud835\uddf2\ud835\uddf1 by more than 35%.\u201d— Chris Martz (@Chris Martz) 1664770884
Well, surely the hurricanes must be forming earlier, giving them greater momentum? Nope.
\u201cThere is absolutely no evidence that hurricanes are forming earlier today than they did 100 years ago. Why peddle misinformation?\u201d— Chris Martz (@Chris Martz) 1664828043
What about tornadoes? Not that either.
\u201cU.S. EF1-EF5 tornado counts by year since 1954. There hasn't been an EF5 in over 9 years, the longest stretch on record. No overall trend in tornado counts.\u201d— Chris Martz (@Chris Martz) 1664807948
OK, these events have always gone on since the dawn of time, but aren’t hurricanes becoming more intense? Didn’t the Washington Post tell us that “climate change is rapidly fueling super hurricanes”? The New York Times warns that this is particularly a problem with Atlantic hurricanes. Again, even the NOAA admits that claim is a hoax:
“After adjusting for changes in observing capabilities (limited ship observations) in the pre-satellite era, there is no significant long-term trend (since the 1880s) in the proportion of hurricanes that become major hurricanes.” Which is why the NOAA paper concludes “that the historical Atlantic hurricane data at this stage do not provide compelling evidence for a substantial greenhouse warming-induced century-scale increase in: frequency of tropical storms, hurricanes, or major hurricanes, or in the proportion of hurricanes that become major.”
Part of how the media is able to get away with the hurricane hoax is because the devastation from hurricanes making landfall is worse today, thanks to the buildup along our coastline of expensive edifices that weren’t there in previous generations. While the U.S. population has grown 4.4-fold since 1900, the Florida coastal population has grown by a factor of 68!
\u201cThe Expanding Bull\u2019s-Eye Effect: When discussing hurricane damages, we\u2019ve got to account the increasing number of people living by the coast.\n\nRead more in my peer-reviewed article: https://t.co/CC0h7JKIKv\u201d— Bjorn Lomborg (@Bjorn Lomborg) 1664797514
We can debate the policies surrounding coastal buildup and flood insurance, but it’s clear the devastation created by hurricanes has nothing to do with us raising cows for beef or driving SUVs. Simply put, the more humans there are on the earth and the more infrastructure built, the more costly any natural disaster will grow over time.
The global elites understand that most people have a short attention span. They use world catastrophes while they have a captive audience to create the illusion of scientific trends and try to retroactively implant them in people’s minds as if they were scientifically inevitable because of some human behavior they don’t like. Facts simply don’t matter.
In the irony of all ironies, Gov. DeSantis was criticized by the media for not focusing on a Ft. Myers-based evacuation when the computer models had the bull’s-eye headed farther north just a day earlier. So with a hurricane 12 hours away, the fancy computer models couldn’t predict exactly where it would land and who needed to evacuate. Yet somehow, they can predict with certainty the global average temperatures and weather phenomena for 100 years and know the exact cause and course of action needed, too.
Sadly, as we face the same inevitable baseline of natural disasters we always did, with no ability to stop them, the climate fascists will strip us of the energy resources that make it possible for people to better live through droughts, heat, cold, and storms and leave us with energy sources that are dangerous and vulnerable during times of peril.
\u201cThere\u2019s a ton of EVs disabled from Ian. As those batteries corrode, fires start. That\u2019s a new challenge that our firefighters haven\u2019t faced before. At least on this kind of scale. #HurricaneIan\u201d— Jimmy Patronis (@Jimmy Patronis) 1665071533
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Blaze Podcast Host
Daniel Horowitz is the host of “Conservative Review with Daniel Horowitz” and a senior editor for Blaze News.