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Poll dancing -- 10.09.12


The religiously unaffiliated grow in numbers [Pew, 10/9]: One out of every five Americans (19.6 percent) claim no particular religion as their own. That's a five percent increase since 2007.

Pennsylvania suddenly back into play [SRI, 10/9]: President Obama leads the state among likely voters 43 percent to Mitt Romney's 40 percent. For weeks polls have showed the state tilted heavily toward Obama.

Massachusetts Senate race still locked [WBUR, 10/9]: Sen. Scott Brown (R) leads Elizabeth Warren 48-45 percent.

 The debate's lasting effect: Tied up [Gallup, 10/9]: Romney leads Obama, 49 to 47 percent among likely voters across the nation.

Buying a car has become a political decision [Rasmussen, 10/9]: "57% of American Adults say the fact that Ford did not take bailout money makes them more likely to buy a Ford car."

Post-debate Obama drops by 3+ in several areas [Reuters-Ipsos, 10/9]:

  • Eloquent (from 48% to 43%)
  • Represents America (from 43% to 40%)
  • Smart enough for the job (from 45% to 41%)
  • Has the right values (from 43% to 40%)
  • Would be fun to meet in person (from 48% to 45%)
  • Can be effective in Washington (from 37% to 34%)

  • Romney has also gained three points or more on:
    • Is a good person (from 31% to 34%)
    • Likeable (from 29% to 32%)

The horse race [RCP average, 10/9]: For the first time in weeks an average of national polls shows Romney leading Obama 48 to 47.3 percent.

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