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If Trump Has a Chance to Win, This Could Be His Most Probable Path to Victory


Here are the states he would need to win.

Mandel Ngan/AFP/Getty Images

As the November presidential election nears, pollsters and analysts are scrambling for a clearer picture of how each state will vote.

It can be a complicated subject, but a new video from Business Insider breaks down what it calls the most likely path to the White House for Republican nominee Donald Trump.

The video points out that, of the 270 electoral votes needed to win, Democratic nominee Hillary Clinton already has 217 all but locked up.

Image source: Business Insider

Trump, meanwhile, has secured 191 electoral votes with what are reliably Republican voting states, mostly in the Great Plains and the South.

Image source: Business Insider

That means the result of the election will be likely be decided by 10 remaining battleground states.

Image source: Business Insider

Of those remaining states, if Clinton wins just five of them — New Hampshire, Pennsylvania, Virginia, Wisconsin and Colorado — she will be the next president.

Image source: Business Insider

However, it would take Trump winning six of the battleground states for him to become the 45th president: Pennsylvania, North Carolina, Florida, Ohio, Iowa and Nevada.

Image source: Business Insider

The video points out that, though Pennsylvania has not gone Republican since 1988, the western part of the state has trended more conservative in recent years. While a victory for Trump in the Keystone State would be the first time a Republican has won there in more than a quarter century, it's the billionaire businessman's most probable path to 1600 Pennsylvania Avenue.

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