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CNN poll shows more Americans believe Trump could win second term, Joe Biden leads list of Democrats

Joe Biden, Former Vice president of the United States, is a leading Democratic pick for the 2020 presidential election, according to a new poll by CNN. Here Biden is shown speaking at the 2018 Concordia Americas Summit day 2 at Agora Bogota Convention Center on July 17, 2018 in Bogota, Colombia. (Photo by Gabriel Aponte/Getty Images for Concordia Americas Summit)

More Americans believe President Donald Trump could win a second term in office and former Vice President Joe Biden is emerging as a Democrat who could possibly try to defeat him in the 2020 election, according to a new CNN poll published Sunday.

Will Trump win a second term?

The poll, conducted by SSRS, found that the public is about split over whether they believe Trump will win a second term. Forty-six percent of those surveyed say that’s likely to happen while 47 percent said it is not likely.

The figures showed improvement over a March survey, when 54 percent said they believe Trump will not serve a second term.

The survey also showed that support for Trump serving a second term is growing across party lines, according to CNN.

What groups increased support for Trump?

Increases were shown among men (8 points), independents (from 39 percent in March to 47 percent currently). An increase was also seen among voters who said they are likely to cast ballots in this year’s midterm election (37 percent in March to 46 percent in the latest poll).

About 74 percent of Republicans and Republican-leaning independents indicated they would like to see Trump nominated in 2020. In contrast, about 21 percent said they would prefer a different candidate.

Among Democrats, Biden is leading the pack. He was chosen by Democrats and Democrat-leaning independents as the top pick among 16 candidates, according to the report.

Biden had support from 33 percent of those surveyed, followed by 13 percent for independent Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-Vt.), the 2016 Democratic runner-up.

In a December 2017 interview with Vanity Fair, Biden said he hasn't ruled out the possibility of a 2020 run.

Democratic Sen. Kamala Harris (Calif.) had 9 percent, followed by Sen. Elizabeth Warren (D-Mass.) at 8 percent. Sen. Cory Booker (D-N.J.) and 2004 Democratic nominee John Kerry both had 5 percent.

Former New York Mayor Michael Bloomberg, who recently became a registered Democrat, received 4 percent in the poll. He was tied with Rep. Beto O'Rourke (D-Texas), who also had 4 percent.

What were some other results?

Less than 1 percent favored Rep. John Delaney (D-Md.), the only declared candidate in the field, and just 1 percent picked attorney Michael Avenatti, who has been visiting early primary and caucus states, according to the report.

Sanders appears to be falling along the same lines he did in 2016, with lower support from Democrats and older voters, the report stated. Among other self-declared Democrats, 34 percent support Biden and 11 percent back Harris. Nine percent supported Sanders and Warren had 8 percent.

Among independents who say they favor the Democratic Party, 21 percent support Sanders. Others include Biden with 31 percent, Warren with 8 percent, and Harris with 7 percent.

How was the poll conducted?

CNN's poll was conducted by SSRS from October 4 through 7. It included a random national sample of 1,009 adults who were reached by a live interviewer via landlines or cellphones.

One last thing…
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