Democratic pollster Doug Schoen is sounding the alarm for the Democratic Party’s 2022 midterm prospects.
In fact, according to Schoen and fellow pollster Carley Cooperman, "Democrats’ political prospects are significantly deteriorating" — and they have the data to prove it.
What do the data show?
Recent data collected by Schoen Cooperman Research proves the Democratic Party is becoming increasing unfavorable and vulnerable to massive losses in 2022.
The key findings include:
- 53% of likely voters believe President Joe Biden "hasn’t paid enough attention to the country’s most important problems," compared to 38% who believe Biden's priorities are correct;
- 66% of likely voters agree that "Joe Biden and Democrats in Congress are out of touch with hardworking Americans" because "they have been so focused on passing their own agenda," compared 30% who believe Biden and Democrats are not out of touch;
- 65% of likely voters agree that Biden has not improved the U.S. like he promised, compared to 31% who disagree;
- 52% of likely voters believe the economy has worsened because of Biden, compared to 36% who believe it is stronger under Biden;
- 71% of likely voters believe Biden's policies are fully or partly to blame for inflation, compared to 24% who say Biden is not responsible for inflation;
- 69% to 23% of likely voters affirm that "Biden and Democrats are soft on crime";
- 67% to 18% of likely voters believe the country is more divided, not more unified, compared to one year ago.
Additionally, the poll found that likely voters overwhelmingly disapprove of Biden's performance on immigration and the southern border (60% to 34%), disapprove of his performance on foreign policy (59% to 36%), and blame Democrats over Republicans for surging crime rates (48% to 27%).
What does this mean for 2022?
Given this data, in addition to data showing Republicans are favored overall on the generic congressional ballot, Schoen and Cooperman predicted that Democrats stand to lose in a "landslide" in 2022.
"If the Democratic Party continues down its current ill-fated path of embracing progressive policies while overlooking manifest political realities, we will almost certainly see a landslide GOP victory in 2022," the duo wrote at The Hill.
In fact, the data sends a "resounding message to national Democrats," according to Schoen and Cooperman: Return to moderate politics, embrace fiscal responsibility, a deliver on "practical economic and social policies."
"Without such a course correction, Democrats are almost certain to be brought down by Republicans in 2022 and 2024 and may find themselves in the minority in Congress for years to come," Schoen and Cooperman predicted.