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Gold Sets Best Week in Six Months
A fake gold bar sits in a machine used to test metals at the 20th Annual Investing in Africa Mining Indaba on February 4, 2014, at the Cape Town International Convention Centre in Cape Town. This event is billed as the world's largest conference dealing with mining investment, and Africa's biggest mining conference. AFP PHOTO / RODGER BOSCH RODGER BOSCH/AFP/Getty Images

Gold Sets Best Week in Six Months

"Gold continues to trade extremely well..."

Gold climbed to three-month highs on Friday and looked set to post its biggest weekly gain in six months as a series of weak U.S. data throughout the week raised fears about economic growth, hurting the dollar.

PRAGUE, CZECH REPUBLIC - DECEMBER 18: Gold bars are seen at the vault of The Czech Central Bank museum on December 18, 2013 in Prague, Czech Republic. The Central Bank built a permanent exhibition called People And Money which is situated in the former vault of the bank. isifa/Getty Images Getty Images

Spot gold was up 1 percent at $1,316 an ounce after rising to its highest since Nov. 7 at $1,320.90. It was up around 4 percent for the week, the largest such gain since mid-August.

U.S. gold futures for April delivery also hit a three-month high of $1,321.50 an ounce, up for an eighth straight session in the longest winning streak since July 2011. They were last up 1.4 percent at $1,318 an ounce.

"Gold continues to trade extremely well and it is basically taking out one key resistance level after the other," BofA Merrill Lynch analyst Michael Widmer said.

"Fundamentally, in terms of having a sustained theme that should take gold higher, be it on the inflation side, on the monetary side, or currency side I still don't see one, but for now it's hard to argue against it."

The technical picture has improved over the past few sessions and a move above its 200-day moving average, last seen in August 2012, looked bullish, Standard Bank said.

Screenshot 2014-02-14 12.06.33However, some traders noted that the 14-day relative strength index (RSI) for spot gold was at 73.7. A reading above 70 is considered to be in overbought territory.

The dollar fell 0.2 percent versus a basket of currencies, having hit its lowest since Jan. 2 earlier, as data showed U.S. manufacturing output and factory production fell in January and recorded their biggest drop since 2009.

Gold has gained nearly 9 percent since the beginning of the year, after a 28 percent drop in 2013 on doubts over the U.S. economic recovery and as emerging-market turmoil weighed on some equity markets.


Analysts remain cautious over the medium-term outlook for gold, however. Many expect the U.S. economy to recover and the dollar to rally, making the investment case for gold, usually seen as a safe haven in times of trouble, still unattractive.

"As positive as we remain on the American currency and the U.S. economy in 2014 (especially once macro estimates rebound as the weather effect passes), there is little point fighting the short-term uptrend," VTB Capital said in a note.

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