A recently released study by CIRCLE shows that young voters aged 18-34 came out more for President-elect Donald Trump than many originally had thought. While millennials still mostly came out in favor of Democratic candidate Hillary Clinton, her reliance on the millennial vote in this election did not serve her as well as she thought.
Our pre-election poll of Millennials ages 18-34 had Clinton 49% vs. Trump 28%, a 21-point preference for the Democratic candidate. The National Exit Poll suggests that the actual split in the election was 55% for Clinton to 37% for Trump (an 18-point gap) among youth aged 18-29.
Throughout the election season, our analysis has emphasized the demographic and ideological heterogeneity of Millennials, contradicting facile generalizations that characterize them as the “Obama generation.” In particular, there are regularly stark differences in ideology and issue positions among Millennials of different races, genders, and socioeconomic status.
Circle notes that “an estimated 23.7 million young voters participated in the 2016 presidential election, which is 50% of citizens aged 18-29 in the United States.”
While still showing support for third party candidates, millennials are just one more element that defied numerous election forecasts.