Bucking all the trending political commentary, Republican pollster Scott Rasmussen writes on the 2016 presidential speculation:
The conventional wisdom seems to be that former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton has a lock on the Democratic nomination and New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie is the frontrunner among Republicans. Some of the silly chatter from the condescending class in Washington wonders if the Republican base will be smart enough to nominate someone like Christie or if they will insist on a more conservative candidate.
These attitudes are bolstered by early public opinion polls showing Clinton and Christie both leading the primary battles. Not only that, Christie is doing better than other Republicans in matchups against Clinton.
Despite that, I doubt that either Clinton or Christie will top their party tickets in 2016.
Rasmussen backs up his prediction with this: Clinton was also a frontrunner in 2008, only to be beat by then-Sen. Barack Obama. Christie's career, on the other hand, mirrors that of former New York Mayor Rudy Giuliani, who was also a frontrunner in 2008 before his campaign collapsed.