While most pollsters are predicting that Democrat Hillary Clinton will win this year's presidential election, one New York professor, who has a remarkable track record of correctly predicting presidential election outcomes, says instead that Republican Donald Trump will be this year's winner.
Professor Helmut Norpoth of Stony Brook University in New York explained his prediction during an interview with Tucker Carlson on Fox News' "Fox and Friends" on Saturday.
He told Carlson that he uses two models to make his predictions: his "primary" model and his "swing of the pendulum" model.
Typically, according to the "primary" model, the candidate who does better in the primaries than their general election opponent will do better in the general as well. Norpoth said he used the primaries in New Hampshire and South Carolina to estimate his outcome, which Trump won by greater margins over his challengers than Clinton did her's.
Secondly, Norpoth said Republicans are favored this year simply because Democrats have controlled the White House for the past eight years under President Barack Obama.
The professor even said he's put down actual money on his prediction — that's how certain he is that Trump will win.
Watch his full interview with Carlson below:
(H/T: Fox News Insider)