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AK-Gov: New poll shows Republican Mike Dunleavy with huge lead over Gov. Bill Walker, Mark Begich

A new poll shows Republican candidate Mike Dunleavy leading his fellow candidates by a large margin. (Image source: KTVA-TV video screenshot)

A new poll shows that Republican Mike Dunleavy, Alaskan gubernatorial candidate, has a rather large lead over his fellow candidates, incumbent Gov. Bill Walker (I) and Democrat Mark Begich.

What are the details?

The poll, which was released on Thursday by pollster Ivan Moore, places Dunleavy ahead of Walker by 21 points, and ahead of Begich by 15 points.

The poll showed Dunleavy with 44 percent of the vote if the election were today. Begich received 29 percent of the vote, and Walker received nearly 23 percent.

According to KTVA-TV, the poll was conducted Sept. 21-25 and featured 500 registered likely or certain Alaska voters. The poll has a margin of error of 4.5 percent.

In an interview with the station, Moore said that Dunleavy has "kind of pushed out even further in front."

"And there's still this unresolved dynamic between Begich and Walker, essentially splitting the vote, competing in the same pool as the kind of anti-Dunleavy candidate," Moore said.

"But we figured it would probably be a good idea to have an independent series of polls that gave voters some information between now and Nov. 6," Moore added.

Moore plans to release another similar poll on Oct. 6.

Did the candidates respond to the poll's findings?

In a statement, Dunleavy said, "A growing number of Alaskans are ready for bold new leadership. It's time to make our neighborhoods safe again, grow our economy, and pay Alaskans back full Permanent Fund Dividends. The only poll that really counts is the one on Nov. 6."

John-Henry Heckendorn — Walker's campaign manager — didn't put much stock in the poll at all, noting that Moore's "polling has skewed heavily from other polls, both historically, and so far in this race."

"We expect additional polls to come out in the next couple of weeks, and we expect they will continue to show different results from Ivan Moore," Heckendorn said.

Rachel Barinbaum — Begich's campaign spokesperson — said, "Even amidst the millions of dollars pouring in from Mike Dunleavy's outside friends, Mark Begich and Mike Dunleavy are in a statistical dead heat demonstrating that voters are lining up behind Mark Begich and his vision — from protecting the [Permanent Fund Dividend] and our schools to cracking down on crime — because they know Mike Dunleavy is so extreme he is dangerous."

The three candidates will face off in the Nov. 6 general election. You can read more about the candidates’ backgrounds here.

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