At least three moderate Democrats are undecided on whether to convict or acquit President Donald Trump.
The trio of Democrats — Sens. Joe Manchin (W. Va.), Doug Jones (Ala.), and Kyrsten Sinema (Ariz.) — are "agonizing over where to land," Politico reported, especially considering the implications their votes could have on the 2020 election.
"I know it's hard to believe that. But I really am [undecided]. But I have not made a final decision. Every day, I hear something, I think 'this is compelling, that's compelling.' Everyone's struggling a little bit," Manchin said Tuesday.
Jones, meanwhile, confirmed that he is not "totally decided" and said that his "needle" continues to lean in differing directions. "I am leaning in certain ways but I want to hear, I truly, honestly, want to hear the entire trial," he said.
As Politico noted, Sinema has not publicly commented on the Senate trial, but strategists and Washington insiders widely consider her a swing-vote given her history of breaking Democratic ranks, such as when she voted to confirm William Barr as attorney general last year.
In fact, Democrats privately believe that Simena is leading toward acquittal, Politico reported, along with Manchin.
Even if the undecided senators do not vote to acquit the president on both articles of impeachment — one for abuse of power, the other for obstruction of Congress — they could potentially vote to convict on one count, while voting to acquit on the other. Rep. Jared Golden (D-Maine) employed a similar strategy when the House voted on the articles last month.
During former President Bill Clinton's Senate trial, no Democrat voted for his removal, but numerous Republican senators sided with their Democratic colleagues. While such bipartisanship is unlikely this time around, Sen. Rand Paul (R-Ky.) told Politico there is about an 80% chance that two Democrats will vote for acquittal.
"I think there will be a couple who may vote not to convict Trump," Paul said. "I'm guessing there's an 80% chance that two Democrats will not vote to convict."
If Paul's prediction is correct, then it will be a major victory for the Republican Party and Trump in hyper-partisan 2020.