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Obama: Two Sides of the Incumbency Coin


Obama’s biggest advantage in this election is also his biggest disadvantage: Incumbency. The reason it is his biggest advantage is because incumbents almost always win. The reason it is his biggest disadvantage is because unlike in 2008, he has a record on which he must run. Obama’s reelection prospects reside on two sides of the same incumbency coin.

If there is one overriding trend of American politics it is that incumbents usually win. Regardless of the level of the election, incumbents have big advantages.

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