Today's electoral map -- according to Obama's campaign manager

In a video message to President Obama's supporters, campaign manager Jim Messina sets out his own electoral map showing President Obama ahead of Mitt Romney in electoral votes -- 243 to 191, with 104 undecided.

The race to 270 will rest on the Obama camp's identified toss-ups, Messina explains: Colorado, Florida, Iowa, North Carolina, New Hampshire, Ohio, Virginia and Wisconsin.

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Messina's prediction differs somewhat from that of Republican powerhouse strategist Karl Rove, who currently predicts the electoral count at 280 leaning Obama, 161 leaning Romney and 97 toss-ups.