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IN-Sen: New poll shows incumbent Sen. Joe Donnelly leading Republican candidate Mike Braun

A new poll has incumbent Indiana Sen. Joe Donnelly (D) ahead of Republican candidate and businessman Mike Braun (right, with President Donald Trump). (Mark Wilson/Getty Images, Scott Olson/Getty Images)

A new poll shows incumbent Sen. Joe Donnelly (D-Ind.) leading Republican Senate candidate Mike Braun by 12 points in the pivotal midterm senate race.

What are the details?

The poll showed Donnelly beating Braun 51-39 in a hypothetical matchup if the 2018 Senate election were held today.

Approximately 11 percent of respondents were undecided.

The poll was conducted by The Trafalgar Group from July 31-Aug.7, surveying 1,420 likely voters in the Hoosier state.

Respondents were chosen from registered Indiana voters and their likelihood to vote in the upcoming Senate election.

The margin of error is 2.6 percent.

Prior to this poll, a July poll from Survey Monkey/Axios showed that Braun had a 2-point lead over Donnelly — 49-47 — with 4 percent of respondents undecided.

Additionally, the poll reported that Donnelly’s total approval rating at the time was at 47 percent, while his disapproval rating was at 49 percent.

The poll surveyed more than 950 registered Indiana voters and was conducted between June 11 to July 2.

Anything else?

Indiana’s Senate election in November is one of 10 “most likely to flip in 2018,” CNN noted in January.

At the time of this writing, the Cook Political Report calls the race a toss-up, as does Real Clear Politics.

Donnelly and Braun will face off in their first debate on Oct. 8. The second debate is set for Oct. 30.

You can read more about both candidates here.

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