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ND-Sen: Kevin Cramer extends lead over Heidi Heitkamp to 16 points

Republican Kevin Cramer is 16 points ahead of incumbent Sen. Heidi Heitkamp (D-N.D.) according to the latest poll. (Image source: YouTube screencap)

Republican challenger Kevin Cramer now has a 16-point lead over incumbent Sen. Heidi Heitkamp (D-N.D.) in the race for a Senate seat, according to the latest poll.

What are the details?

In a survey of 650 likely North Dakota voters conducted jointly by KVLY-TV, KFYR-TV, and Strategic Research Associates, 56 percent said they would vote for Cramer, and 40 percent are leaning toward Heitkamp.

The poll was conducted Oct. 12-19, following Heitkamp's "no" vote against confirming U.S. Supreme Court Justice Brett Kavanaugh.

Dr. James Henson of Strategic Research Associates, said, KVLY reported, "Senator Heitkamp appears to have been hurt by her vote against Brett Kavanaugh's confirmation to the U.S. Supreme Court as well as by subsequent campaign missteps widely covered in the media."

Heitkamp has come under serious fire in the past week, after her campaign inaccurately published the names of alleged victims of sexual assault, and disclosed the identity of women without their permission.

In a Fox News poll conducted prior to the Kavanaugh vote, Cramer led Heitkamp by 12 points. A Mason-Dixon survey in June showed Cramer with a 4-point lead, according to Real Clear Politics.

The latest poll also shows the incumbent Heitkamp carrying a 52 percent unfavorable rating among her constituents, while 38 percent view her opponent unfavorably.

The poll has a 3.85 percent margin of error.

What else?

The poll also points out that "Heitkamp's support appears relatively fixed," as the results reflect. "Only 5 percent of those supporting her say that they might change their mind," the researchers wrote, "compared to 17 percent of Cramer supporters who say they may still change their minds."

Health care was cited as the most important issue for North Dakota voters at 18 percent. The second highest priority was immigration and border security at 16 percent, followed by the economy and jobs at 12 percent, and the Kavanaugh vote also came in at 12 points among respondents.

Participants of the survey were 48 percent male, 52 percent female, 90 percent white, 2 percent black, 1 percent Hispanic and another 7 percent identified racially as "other." As far as political leanings, 59 percent of those polled consider themselves Republicans, 9 percent as independents, and 31 percent as Democrats.

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