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Cook Political Report changes a midterm projection — and it's not good for Republicans

The Cook Political Report has updated its projections for the midterm elections, and noted an even greater probability that Democrats will take control of the House of Representatives. People cast their ballots at a community center during early voting Oct. 25, 2018, in Potomac, Maryland. (BRENDAN SMIALOWSKI/AFP/Getty Images)

The Cook Political Report has updated its projections for the midterm elections to reflect an even greater probability that Democrats will take control of the House of Representatives.

Democrats need to flip 23 seats to gain control of the lower chamber of Congress, but Cook Political Report House of Representatives editor Dave Wasserman believes they'll gain more than that.

"Based on the past week's evidence, we're revising our House outlook to a Dem gain of 30-40 seats (was 25-35 last month) at @CookPolitical," Wasserman wrote. "This could change again before Tuesday."

What's the reason for the change?

Wasserman didn't elaborate on exactly why his projection changed, but a Tuesday article written on the site by Charles Cook Jr. gives some insight into what Republicans' challenge is in holding the House:

"Disproportionately, the battle for control of the House is being fought in suburban districts where Trump is a liability, not in more-rural and small-town-oriented districts where the president is an asset for his party. That is why Trump is still able to boost GOP fortunes in many of the Senate contests, most of which are in red states, while being something of a millstone around the necks of Republicans in suburban House districts that matter most."

Pelosi's prediction

House Minority Leader Nancy Pelosi has been telling donors that she thinks Democrats will gain at least 30 seats in the House on Tuesday in the midterm elections.

"What now I'm saying is, we will win. We will win," Pelosi said during an appearance on "The Late Show with Stephen Colbert."

One last thing…
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