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"Of the major economic data points we have missed 18 of the last 20."
Despite the fact that stocks have been going gangbusters for the past two weeks, the U.S. economy is far from recovered. In fact, based on recent misses in major macro-economic reports, things don’t look very encouraging.
"The last ten days have seen miss-after-miss in macro economic data -- in fact this is the biggest plunge in macro data in 10 months," Zero Hedge reports.
Consider the following economic reports:
- Markit US PMI Miss
- ISM Manufacturing Miss
- ISM New York Miss
- Vehicle Sales Miss
- ADP Employment Miss
- ISM Services Miss
- Challenger Job Cuts Miss
- Initial Claims Miss
- Trade Balance Beat
- Non-Farm Payrolls Miss
- Hourly Earnings Miss
- NFIB Small Business Miss
- Wholesale Inventories Miss
- MBA Mortgage Apps Miss
- Import Prices Miss
- Initial Claims Beat
- Retail Sales Miss
- PPI Miss
- UMich Confidence Miss
- Business Inventories Miss
And this is what the decline in macro data looks like compared to stocks:
Courtesy Bloomberg/Zero Hedge
And here:
Courtesy Bloomberg/Zero Hedge
“[T]his is the biggest plunge in macro data in 10 months. Despite the stock market's exuberance (at all-time highs), macro data has rolled over dramatically to 4-month lows,” Zero Hedge notes. “Of the major economic data points we have missed 18 of the last 20.”
Follow Becket Adams (@BecketAdams) on Twitter
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