Democrats have a 12-point lead in congressional preference among registered voters, according to a new national poll. Nearly 6 in 10 voters said they would like to see a significant change in the direction President Donald Trump is taking the country, the NBC News/Wall Street Journal poll states.
Has the lead increased?
The 12-point lead for Democrats is the highest in the cycle of the poll. In August, Democrats had an 8-point lead, 50 percent to 42 percent.
Among voters most likely to vote, however, the Democratic advantage falls to eight points, 51 percent to 43 percent.
The results come six weeks before the 2018 midterm elections and suggests Democrats could be on track to winning back control of Congress.
“Americans are hitting the brake in a midterm, and trying to send the signal that they’re not satisfied,” Republican pollster Bill McInturff, who conducted the survey with Democratic pollsters at Hart Research Associates, told NBC News.
Democratic pollster Fred Yang told the news outlet: “The public is clearly saying, once again, they want to shake up the status quo.”
A bright spot for Republicans is that the same poll shows their enthusiasm is increasing and nearly 70 percent of voters are satisfied with the economy.
The poll, conducted Sept. 16 through Sept. 19, showed 52 percent of registered voters indicated they prefer a Democratic-majority Congress.
How is it looking for Republicans?
According to the poll, Republicans:
- Trail Democrats among moderates and independents by more than 30 points.
- Are losing women ages 50 and older by nearly 20 points.
- Are behind voters living in competitive congressional districts by 12 points, 53 percent vs. 41 percent.
A combined 59 percent of voters indicated they would like to see either “a great deal of change” or “quite a bit of change” in how Trump is leading the country. That includes a third of Republican respondents and 61 percent of Independents, according to the report.
By a 42 percent to 31 percent margin, voters indicated they want “more Democrats to serve as a check and balance to Trump and the congressional Republicans, instead of Republicans who will help Trump and the GOP pass their agenda,” NBC News reported.
Trump’s approval rating remains at 44 percent. Fifty-two percent disapprove of the president’s performance, a figure that is unchanged from an August poll.
What about demographics?
Seniors (73 percent register either a 9 or 10) are showing the greatest level of interest in the election. In addition, 82 percent of all people surveyed said they are less likely to vote for a candidate who favors cutting Social Security and Medicare to offset Trump’s tax cuts.
Interest among other groups is as follows: Democrats, 65 percent; whites, 61 percent; Republicans, 61 percent; and African Americans, 53 percent.
Independents are showing the lowest level of interest, 37 percent, followed by people in the ages 18-34 bracket, 35 percent.
Nine hundred voters were surveyed for the poll, which has an overall margin of error of +/- 3.3 percentage points.