"However [political parties] may now and then answer popular ends, they are likely in the course of time and things, to become potent engines, by which cunning, ambitious, and unprincipled men will be enabled to subvert the power of the people and to usurp for themselves the reins of government, destroying afterwards the very engines which have lifted them to unjust dominion.” -George Washington Farewell Address 1796
Political parties die. The Federalist Party died out in the early 1800s after opposing the War of 1812 and convening the ill-fated Hartford Convention. The Democratic-Republican Party splintered after the election of 1824 when the House of Representatives chose John Quincy Adams over Andrew Jackson. The Whig Party died in the early 1850s over the opposition to slavery.
And now it is time for the Republican Party to die. Unfortunately for most of us, the Democrat Party will continue to live, even as they are dragged further to the left by Bernie Sanders.
The Republican Party has four people. Out of the four, there is a right-wing populist, a faux libertarian, a neo-conservative, and the last is a moderate who stands no chance of winning.
The death of the party started with the rise of Donald Trump.
Has there ever been a candidate who openly repudiated the principles of conservatism? From his stance on Planned Parenthood to his record as a Democrat, it's quite telling how angry Republican voters are with the establishment when they propel a thrice-married progressive to frontrunner status for the past year.
Trump openly hates the Constitution as he promises to open libel laws to sue news organizations for writing negative stories about him while also promising to bring back waterboarding and more forms of torture. (Hint: Torture doesn't work.) He also promises to violate international law by bombing the families of terrorists. To top the list, he doesn't understand basic economics.
He might motivate disaffected conservatives and independents, but he chases away hundreds of thousands if not millions of the Republican base. When people such as Sen. Ben Sasse, Rick Lowry, Thomas Sowell and Glenn Beck are against you, you aren't ideological consistent. When you openly repudiate the Republican values that built the Republican Party, you're going to lose in the general election.
Trump is a narcissistic populist whose rhetoric borders on the line into fascism. He's a strongman and speaks with the vocabulary of a third-grader. His demeanor puts off many people.
But hey, at least he'll build a wall make Mexico pay for it, right?
Even if he is not the nominee, the party itself is in a demographic death spiral. Only 10 percent of blacks, 13 percent of Hispanics, and and 11 percent of Asians (me being one of them) identify as Republicans according to a Pew Research Center analysis released last year. As the nation will become majority-minority by 2050, the Republican Party can no longer just appeal to white people.
This also doesn't help that the Republican base is aging and is in danger of dying out. I saw this in my own city when I went to a Republican Party meeting; the average age was about 65 or so.
The Republican Party itself said this after Mitt Romney lost every single minority group in the 2012 election to Barack Obama.
That's why Republicans, such as Rand Paul, put such an emphasis on going to the inner-cities where Republicans haven't been and talking about issues that affect minorities. You need to expand the party by going to where Republicans haven't been in a long time. But with the rise of Trump, you're sacrificing this. You're driving away minorities who are put off by his idiotic talk.
But let's say Trump doesn't win the nomination. It's Ted Cruz.
Do you think people are going to go for a Canadian who has betrayed criminal justice reform, flip-flopped on immigration, and speaks more like an evangelical preacher than a man running for the president of a constitutional Republic? He sounds like a hawk, promising to make the sand glow, putting off independents and libertarians.
But what about Marco Rubio? He's young, energetic, and smart. What about him?
You're talking about a man who promises to expand the War on Terror to practically every corner in the world and supported the Iraq War. He reminds people too much of George W. Bush. After the foreign policy of the past 20 years leading to where we are right now, it's time for Rubio's foreign policy to go. He will never win the libertarian vote, nor will he win the independent vote who are against the neo-conservative foreign policy. And a man who couldn't win his home state.
Let's not pretend John Kasich has a shot at the nomination.
In the end, it doesn't matter what the Republican Party does. With demographics and policies against them, the Republican Party is slowly dying. Maybe it's for good.
After all, maybe a third party will take its place.
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