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Horowitz: Why unvaccinated kids are less at risk than vaccinated adults

Op-ed
Angela Weiss/AFP/Getty Images

It's official. Children are less at risk of serious illness from COVID than literally any other ailment that afflicts them, yet they are the last people our government is setting free from the clutches of COVID tyranny. We have always known that children tend to get less sick from COVID than from a seasonal flu. But two new studies from California demonstrate that the risk is even lower than previously thought.

Yesterday, New York magazine published a story highlighting new studies showing that the pediatric hospitalization numbers for COVID have likely been dramatically inflated throughout the country. The first study, published in the official journal of the American Academy of Pediatrics, was conducted by Stanford researchers and examined 117 reputed COVID hospitalizations among those under 18 at a children's hospital in Northern California. They found that just 7.7% exhibited severe illness and 12.8% critical illness. Overall, 45% were classified as "unlikely to be caused by SARSCoV2," and it appears that most of the others weren't suffering life-threatening illness.

The second study, published in the same journal, found in America's fifth-largest hospital that, among patients younger than 22, 40% had "incidental infection," only 47% were "potentially symptomatic," and just 14% were "significantly symptomatic." They further found that "Fifty-five percent of incidental and 47% of potentially symptomatic patients had at least one identified comorbidity, while 90% of significantly symptomatic patients had at least one."

As Drs. Monica Gandhi and Amy Beck wrote in a commentary for Hospital Pediatrics that accompanied the two studies, "Taken together, these studies underscore the importance of clearly distinguishing between children hospitalized with SARS-CoV-2 found on universal testing versus those hospitalized for COVID-19 disease." They further conclude that the data also "greatly overestimate the true burden of COVID-19 disease in children."

If so many of the pediatric hospitalizations are wrongly ascribed to COVID, then how many of the already very few pediatric COVID deaths are also among individuals who died with COVID, not because of it? The CDC has already stated based on an analysis of death certificates that 35.2% of all reputed pediatric COVID deaths "could not be plausibly categorized as either a chain-of-event or significant contributing condition."

Yet, appallingly, so many schools are still requiring children to remain masked until they get an experimental vaccine that can only potentially harm them and not help them. Children already are de facto vaccinated by God. A new study published in Science magazine shows blood taken from kids before the pandemic contains memory B cells that bind SARSCoV2. "These findings suggest that encounters with coronaviruses in early life may produce cross-reactive memory B cell populations that contribute to divergent COVID-19 susceptibilities," suggest the Stanford University researchers.

Just how strong is the immunity of children? Phil Kerpen calculated the numbers of age-stratified risk of COVID using the CDC's mortality numbers and assumed for good measure that the Pfizer shot is 97% effective. Even under such a scenario, unvaccinated children are still less at risk than vaccinated young adults and 100 times less at risk than vaccinated 75+-year-olds!

Consider the fact that Dr. Fauci now admits that if people are vaccinated, even if they can still get the virus asymptomatically, their risk of spreading it is "very very low." Well, in January, the CDC already conceded, "Children might be more likely to be asymptomatic carriers of COVID-19 than are adults." Consequently, it admits that because asymptomatic people really do not spread very often, that is likely the reason why we never experienced outbreaks in schools. "This apparent lack of transmission [in schools] is consistent with recent research, which found an asymptomatic attack rate of only 0.7% within households and a lower rate of transmission from children than from adults," wrote the CDC in a January 29 report.

In other words, children already are more vaccinated with immunity than adults can ever achieve even under the most bullish outcome of the vaccine. And unlike with these experimental mRNAs, God's vaccine for children comes risk-free.

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